Teams › A-10 · Compare St. Bonaventure with another team
St. Bonaventure
St. Bonaventure returns 59% of last season's minutes and rates #157 on offense and #108 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -4.6 to +10.1.
Why we have them here
St. Bonaventure's preseason projection of +2.7 (No. 126 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +2.0, about the +1.8 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 158 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.4, about its neighbours' +0.4; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.0. It returns 59% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (53%). The projection leans most on Cayden Charles (+2.9), Frank Mitchell (+2.8) and Ryan Kalambay (+1.0); the newcomer who matters most is Ryan Kalambay, a transfer from Detroit Mercy, at +1.0. Its 80% range, -4.6 to +10.1, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 55% · Transfer 29% · Other newcomer 8%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296 | Cayden Charles | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | St. Bonaventure | 28 | +4.1 | +2.9 |
| 340 | Frank Mitchell | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | St. Bonaventure | 29 | +3.9 | +2.8 |
| 854 | Ryan Kalambay | F | 6-9 | 2 | Transfer | Detroit Mercy | 21 | +1.9 | +1.0 |
| 1047 | Ari Fulton | G | 6-7 | 2 | Transfer | NJIT | 25 | +1.1 | +0.7 |
| 1878 | Joe Grahovac | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | St. Bonaventure | 18 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| 3035 | Akbar Waheed III | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.6 | -0.3 | |
| 3131 | John Ikpotokin | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.7 | -0.3 | |
| 3177 | Ilia Ermakov | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | St. Bonaventure | 11 | -1.4 | -0.4 |
| 3301 | Achille Lonati | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | St. Bonaventure | 11 | -1.6 | -0.4 |
| 3510 | Jack DeRose | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | St. Bonaventure | 6 | -2.2 | -0.4 |
| 3899 | Broek Ostrom | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | St. Bonaventure | 7 | -2.6 | -0.4 |
| 4249 | Mason Blackwood | F | 6-7 | 1 | Transfer | Penn State | 12 | -2.4 | -0.7 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Youngstown State #215 | +8.5 | 76% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | at |  Canisius #346 | +4.1 | 63% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | vs |  Cornell #109 | +4.6 | 64% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Lafayette #342 | +13.7 | 87% | |
| Thu Nov 19 | vs |  Buffalo #209 | +8.3 | 75% | |
| Mon Nov 23 | N |  App State #229 | +3.6 | 62% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  Wright State #165 | +1.7 | 56% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | N |  Belmont #94 | -2.5 | 42% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Florida Atlantic #122 | +5.3 | 66% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | at |  Siena #208 | -1.9 | 44% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | N |  Temple #149 | +1.1 | 54% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | vs |  UAlbany #293 | +11.2 | 82% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  Mercyhurst #239 | +9.3 | 78% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | vs |  VCU #44 | conf | -5.0 | 34% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Saint Louis #56 | conf | -9.1 | 23% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  Saint Joseph's #129 | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Fordham #125 | conf | -1.7 | 44% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  George Mason #107 | conf | -4.1 | 37% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Dayton #74 | conf | -2.0 | 43% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  George Washington #119 | conf | +1.9 | 56% |
| Wed Jan 27 | at |  Loyola Chicago #166 | conf | -0.9 | 47% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Duquesne #156 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs | George Mason #107 | conf | +1.2 | 54% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs |  Richmond #136 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Wed Feb 10 | at |  Davidson #132 | conf | -2.0 | 44% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Fordham #125 | conf | +2.0 | 56% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Richmond #136 | conf | -2.0 | 43% |
| Tue Feb 23 | at | VCU #44 | conf | -10.2 | 20% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Duquesne #156 | conf | +3.6 | 62% |
| Wed Mar 03 | vs |  La Salle #218 | conf | +5.4 | 67% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at |  Rhode Island #148 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
Projected margin is from St. Bonaventure's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.