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Rhode Island
Rhode Island returns 47% of last season's minutes and rates #170 on offense and #138 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -6.3 to +8.6.
Why we have them here
Rhode Island's preseason projection of +1.0 (No. 148 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +0.6, about the +0.8 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 148 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.1, about its neighbours' +0.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.0. It returns 47% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (49%). The projection leans most on Jahmere Tripp (+2.0), Dylan Williamson (+1.9) and Matas Deniusas (+1.7); the newcomer who matters most is Dylan Williamson, a transfer from Towson, at +1.9. Its 80% range, -6.3 to +8.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 34% · Transfer 35% · Freshman 6% · Other newcomer 16%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 469 | Jahmere Tripp | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Rhode Island | 23 | +3.5 | +2.0 |
| 544 | Dylan Williamson | G | 6-1 | 3 | Transfer | Towson | 29 | +2.7 | +1.9 |
| 602 | Matas Deniusas | F | 6-9 | 1 | Transfer | UT Martin | 25 | +2.7 | +1.7 |
| 1208 | Jonah Hinton | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Rhode Island | 27 | +0.7 | +0.5 |
| 1990 | Jaen Chatman | G | 6-1 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 13 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| 2780 | Jaymien Aponte | F | 6-3 | 2 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.4 | -0.3 | |
| 3093 | Miftah Ibiyemi | G | 6-3 | 3 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.6 | -0.3 | |
| 3098 | Barrett Loer | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Rhode Island | 8 | -1.7 | -0.3 |
| 3156 | Javon Perry | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.7 | -0.3 | |
| 3606 | Moek Icke | F | 7-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -2.0 | -0.4 | |
| 4889 | Jason Fontenet II | G | 6-6 | 3 | Transfer | UC Santa Barbara | 17 | -3.1 | -1.3 |
| 4946 | Jalen Harper | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Rhode Island | 11 | -3.9 | -1.1 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Nov 03 | vs | +14.9 | 89% | ||
| Sat Nov 07 | N | +2.2 | 57% | ||
| Tue Nov 10 | vs | +12.2 | 84% | ||
| Thu Nov 12 | vs | +15.3 | 90% | ||
| Sun Nov 15 | vs | +6.7 | 71% | ||
| Fri Nov 20 | N | +0.0 | 50% | ||
| Sun Nov 22 | N | +0.3 | 51% | ||
| Tue Dec 01 | vs | +7.6 | 73% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | vs | -1.3 | 46% | ||
| Sat Dec 12 | at | -2.5 | 42% | ||
| Sat Dec 19 | at | +0.4 | 51% | ||
| Tue Dec 22 | vs | +8.3 | 75% | ||
| Wed Dec 30 | at | conf | -3.3 | 39% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs | conf | +1.2 | 54% | |
| Wed Jan 06 | at | conf | -2.3 | 43% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | +5.5 | 67% | |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs | conf | +2.0 | 57% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | -3.1 | 40% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | conf | +3.7 | 62% | |
| Tue Jan 26 | at | conf | -10.2 | 21% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | conf | -0.7 | 48% | |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs | conf | +2.1 | 57% | |
| Sun Feb 07 | vs | conf | +2.5 | 58% | |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | conf | -11.2 | 18% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | conf | -2.0 | 44% | |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs | conf | +2.8 | 59% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | -2.8 | 41% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | conf | -1.9 | 44% | |
| Wed Mar 03 | at | conf | -5.1 | 34% | |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | conf | +2.2 | 57% |
Projected margin is from Rhode Island's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.