Teams › Am. East · Compare Maine with another team

Maine
Maine returns 85% of last season's minutes and rates #356 on offense and #175 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -15.6 to -1.1.
Why we have them here
Maine's preseason projection of -8.2 (No. 318 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -5.4, about the -5.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 336 at the end of 2025-26) adds -2.6, about its neighbours' -2.0; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.5. It returns 85% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (72%). The projection leans most on TJ Biel (+0.6), Ace Flagg (+0.6) and Oliver Faubert (-0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Oliver Faubert, a transfer from Saint Mary's, at -0.1. Its 80% range, -15.6 to -1.1, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 67% · Transfer 10% · Other newcomer 18%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1085 | Ace Flagg | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Maine | 24 | +1.0 | +0.6 |
| 1116 | TJ Biel | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Maine | 29 | +0.9 | +0.6 |
| 1925 | Oliver Faubert | F | 6-8 | 1 | Transfer | Saint Mary's | 9 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| 4368 | Darius Lopes | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 12 | -2.5 | -0.8 | |
| 4474 | Joshua Ojuri | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 12 | -2.7 | -0.8 | |
| 4474 | John Shea | F | 6-6 | 3 | Other newcomer | 12 | -2.7 | -0.8 | |
| 4511 | Emmitt Byther | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Maine | 8 | -3.4 | -0.7 |
| 4582 | Ayden Evans | F | 6-10 | 2 | Transfer | Ohio | 10 | -3.1 | -0.8 |
| 4765 | Isaac Bonilla | G | 6-1 | 3 | Returning | Maine | 12 | -3.3 | -1.0 |
| 4983 | Caleb Crawford | G | 6-0 | 2 | Returning | Maine | 21 | -3.0 | -1.6 |
| 4994 | Bashir N'Galang | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Maine | 14 | -3.7 | -1.3 |
| 5093 | Yanis Bamba | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Maine | 13 | -4.5 | -1.5 |
| 5200 | Amare Allen | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Maine | 14 | -5.6 | -1.9 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at | -20.9 | 5% | ||
| Thu Nov 05 | at | -7.8 | 26% | ||
| Sun Nov 08 | vs | +4.4 | 64% | ||
| Tue Nov 10 | at | -12.2 | 16% | ||
| Sat Nov 14 | vs | +2.1 | 57% | ||
| Thu Nov 19 | at | -9.5 | 22% | ||
| Sat Nov 21 | at | -11.0 | 19% | ||
| Fri Nov 27 | N | -4.0 | 37% | ||
| Sat Nov 28 | at | -3.1 | 40% | ||
| Sun Nov 29 | N | +0.3 | 51% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | vs | +3.3 | 61% | ||
| Tue Dec 08 | at | -14.6 | 12% | ||
| Sat Dec 12 | vs | +1.5 | 55% | ||
| Mon Dec 21 | vs | -0.2 | 49% | ||
| Tue Dec 29 | at | -9.8 | 21% | ||
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | -2.7 | 41% | |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs | conf | +4.1 | 63% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | -3.0 | 40% | |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs | conf | +0.5 | 52% | |
| Thu Jan 21 | at | conf | -1.8 | 44% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | conf | -3.3 | 39% | |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs | conf | -2.2 | 43% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | conf | +2.8 | 59% | |
| Thu Feb 04 | at | conf | -4.5 | 36% | |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | conf | -6.0 | 31% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | conf | +0.2 | 51% | |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs | conf | +2.2 | 57% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | -1.6 | 45% | |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | conf | +2.4 | 58% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | conf | +0.8 | 53% | |
| Tue Mar 02 | at | conf | -6.6 | 29% |
Projected margin is from Maine's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.