Roster Math

Teams › Am. East · Compare NJIT with another team

NJIT

NJIT returns 84% of last season's minutes and rates #338 on both offense and defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -18.7 to -4.0.

-11.3
Rating · #347 of 365
-6.2
Offense · #338
-5.1
Defense · #338
-18.7 to -4.0
80% range
0%
Chance of top 25
0%
Chance of No. 1
10-21
Projected record · 5 to 15 wins
6-10
Projected in Am. East · 3 to 10 wins

Why we have them here

NJIT's preseason projection of -11.3 (No. 347 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -6.3, about the -6.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 330 at the end of 2025-26) adds -2.3, about its neighbours' -2.6; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -3.0. It returns 84% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (77%). The projection leans most on David Bolden (+0.2), Jordan Rogers (-0.2) and Quentin Duncan (-0.4); the newcomer who matters most is Brandon Stores Jr., a transfer from Georgia Tech, at -0.5. Its 80% range, -18.7 to -4.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.

Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.

Roster

Returning 71% · Transfer 10% · Other newcomer 12%

David Bolden+0.2
Jordan Rogers-0.2
Quentin Duncan-0.4
Brandon Stores Jr.-0.5
AJ Altobelli-0.7
Cameron Piggee-0.8
Stefan Jimenez-Vojnic-1.0
Jeffrey Akintolu-1.0
Zack Scherler-1.0
Brendan Oliver-1.1
Jeremy Clayville-1.4
Rocco Awad-1.7
John Kelly-1.7
RankPlayerPosHtD1 yrsGroupFromMPGRatingContrib.
1422David BoldenG6-01ReturningNJIT26+0.3+0.2
2047Jordan RogersF6-62ReturningNJIT24-0.3-0.2
2884Quentin DuncanG6-42ReturningNJIT18-1.0-0.4
3921Brandon Stores Jr.G6-51TransferGeorgia Tech8-2.4-0.5
4151AJ AltobelliF6-00Other newcomer12-2.2-0.7
4672Stefan Jimenez-VojnicF6-112Other newcomer13-2.9-1.0
4691Cameron PiggeeG6-12ReturningNJIT9-3.5-0.8
4927Brendan OliverF6-61TransferCanisius12-3.7-1.1
4944Jeffrey AkintoluF6-73ReturningNJIT9-4.5-1.0
4960Zack ScherlerF6-111ReturningNJIT9-4.4-1.0
4962Jeremy ClayvilleG6-12ReturningNJIT17-3.2-1.4
5144John KellyF6-82ReturningNJIT16-4.4-1.7
5153Rocco AwadG6-11ReturningNJIT14-4.8-1.7

A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.

Schedule

DateOpponentProj. marginWin prob.
Mon Nov 02atDayton #74-20.15%
Thu Nov 05atIona #282-9.921%
Sun Nov 08vsSaint Peter's #289+1.454%
Tue Nov 10atRutgers #102-17.28%
Wed Nov 11atVCU #44-23.33%
Sat Nov 14atFairfield #248-10.520%
Wed Nov 18atFairleigh Dickinson #334-6.929%
Sun Nov 22atBoston College #114-15.810%
Wed Nov 25vsManhattan #309+2.357%
Sun Nov 29atSacred Heart #272-10.320%
Wed Dec 02vsNavy #174-2.442%
Mon Dec 07atSeton Hall #106-16.29%
Wed Dec 09atNew Haven #326-6.230%
Sun Dec 13vsDrexel #254+0.050%
Wed Dec 23atWagner #291-8.425%
Sat Jan 02atUMBC #180conf-8.425%
Thu Jan 07atMaine #318conf-4.137%
Sat Jan 09atNew Hampshire #335conf-3.838%
Thu Jan 14vsUAlbany #293conf-1.446%
Mon Jan 18vsBinghamton #330conf+0.251%
Thu Jan 21atBryant #327conf-4.835%
Sat Jan 23vsVermont #202conf-4.635%
Sat Jan 30vsUMass Lowell #287conf-1.844%
Thu Feb 04atUAlbany #293conf-5.533%
Sat Feb 06atBinghamton #330conf-4.037%
Thu Feb 11vsNew Hampshire #335conf+0.652%
Sat Feb 13vsMaine #318conf-0.249%
Thu Feb 18atUMass Lowell #287conf-6.829%
Sat Feb 20atVermont #202conf-8.923%
Thu Feb 25vsUMBC #180conf-5.333%
Sat Feb 27vsBryant #327conf+0.150%

Projected margin is from NJIT's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.