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NJIT
NJIT returns 84% of last season's minutes and rates #338 on both offense and defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -18.7 to -4.0.
Why we have them here
NJIT's preseason projection of -11.3 (No. 347 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -6.3, about the -6.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 330 at the end of 2025-26) adds -2.3, about its neighbours' -2.6; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -3.0. It returns 84% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (77%). The projection leans most on David Bolden (+0.2), Jordan Rogers (-0.2) and Quentin Duncan (-0.4); the newcomer who matters most is Brandon Stores Jr., a transfer from Georgia Tech, at -0.5. Its 80% range, -18.7 to -4.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 71% · Transfer 10% · Other newcomer 12%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1422 | David Bolden | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | NJIT | 26 | +0.3 | +0.2 |
| 2047 | Jordan Rogers | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | NJIT | 24 | -0.3 | -0.2 |
| 2884 | Quentin Duncan | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | NJIT | 18 | -1.0 | -0.4 |
| 3921 | Brandon Stores Jr. | G | 6-5 | 1 | Transfer | Georgia Tech | 8 | -2.4 | -0.5 |
| 4151 | AJ Altobelli | F | 6-0 | 0 | Other newcomer | 12 | -2.2 | -0.7 | |
| 4672 | Stefan Jimenez-Vojnic | F | 6-11 | 2 | Other newcomer | 13 | -2.9 | -1.0 | |
| 4691 | Cameron Piggee | G | 6-1 | 2 | Returning | NJIT | 9 | -3.5 | -0.8 |
| 4927 | Brendan Oliver | F | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | Canisius | 12 | -3.7 | -1.1 |
| 4944 | Jeffrey Akintolu | F | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | NJIT | 9 | -4.5 | -1.0 |
| 4960 | Zack Scherler | F | 6-11 | 1 | Returning | NJIT | 9 | -4.4 | -1.0 |
| 4962 | Jeremy Clayville | G | 6-1 | 2 | Returning | NJIT | 17 | -3.2 | -1.4 |
| 5144 | John Kelly | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | NJIT | 16 | -4.4 | -1.7 |
| 5153 | Rocco Awad | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | NJIT | 14 | -4.8 | -1.7 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at | -20.1 | 5% | ||
| Thu Nov 05 | at | -9.9 | 21% | ||
| Sun Nov 08 | vs | +1.4 | 54% | ||
| Tue Nov 10 | at | -17.2 | 8% | ||
| Wed Nov 11 | at | -23.3 | 3% | ||
| Sat Nov 14 | at | -10.5 | 20% | ||
| Wed Nov 18 | at | -6.9 | 29% | ||
| Sun Nov 22 | at | -15.8 | 10% | ||
| Wed Nov 25 | vs | +2.3 | 57% | ||
| Sun Nov 29 | at | -10.3 | 20% | ||
| Wed Dec 02 | vs | -2.4 | 42% | ||
| Mon Dec 07 | at | -16.2 | 9% | ||
| Wed Dec 09 | at | -6.2 | 30% | ||
| Sun Dec 13 | vs | +0.0 | 50% | ||
| Wed Dec 23 | at | -8.4 | 25% | ||
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | -8.4 | 25% | |
| Thu Jan 07 | at | conf | -4.1 | 37% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | at | conf | -3.8 | 38% | |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs | conf | -1.4 | 46% | |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs | conf | +0.2 | 51% | |
| Thu Jan 21 | at | conf | -4.8 | 35% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | conf | -4.6 | 35% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | conf | -1.8 | 44% | |
| Thu Feb 04 | at | conf | -5.5 | 33% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | conf | -4.0 | 37% | |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | conf | +0.6 | 52% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | -0.2 | 49% | |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | conf | -6.8 | 29% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | -8.9 | 23% | |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | conf | -5.3 | 33% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
Projected margin is from NJIT's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.