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Sacred Heart
Sacred Heart returns 61% of last season's minutes and rates #230 on offense and #299 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -12.3 to +2.2.
Why we have them here
Sacred Heart's preseason projection of -5.1 (No. 272 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -4.9, less than the -2.9 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 262 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.8, about its neighbours' -1.0; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.3. It returns 61% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on Mekhi Conner (+0.8), Samson Reilly (+0.2) and Malik Sheppard (-0.4); the newcomer who matters most is Samson Reilly, a transfer from Quinnipiac, at +0.2. Its 80% range, -12.3 to +2.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 53% · Transfer 21% · Other newcomer 26%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 985 | Mekhi Conner | G | 6-1 | 2 | Returning | Sacred Heart | 25 | +1.3 | +0.8 |
| 1329 | Samson Reilly | G | 6-2 | 1 | Transfer | Quinnipiac | 13 | +0.7 | +0.2 |
| 3435 | Jaylen Robinson | F | 6-7 | 1 | Transfer | Richmond | 11 | -1.6 | -0.5 |
| 3547 | Kevin Pikiell | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.9 | -0.4 | |
| 3562 | Mooda Gittens | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -2.0 | -0.4 | |
| 3578 | DJ Brown | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.9 | -0.4 | |
| 3647 | Landon Krygier | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -2.0 | -0.4 | |
| 3808 | Kedrick Curtis | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -2.2 | -0.5 | |
| 3827 | Jojo Wallace | G | 6-3 | 2 | Other newcomer | 9 | -2.2 | -0.5 | |
| 3835 | Jo Van Buggenhout | G | 6-3 | 1 | Transfer | Indiana State | 17 | -1.6 | -0.7 |
| 3835 | Jeremiah Jacobs | G | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Sacred Heart | 6 | -2.6 | -0.4 |
| 3890 | Malik Sheppard | G | 5-10 | 2 | Returning | Sacred Heart | 6 | -2.8 | -0.4 |
| 3958 | Alex Woodring | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Sacred Heart | 6 | -2.9 | -0.4 |
| 4351 | Taj Bryant | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Sacred Heart | 13 | -2.4 | -0.8 |
| 4478 | Lucius Gibson-Savadel | F | 6-11 | 2 | Returning | Sacred Heart | 9 | -3.2 | -0.7 |
| 5012 | Jaden Slaughter | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Sacred Heart | 17 | -3.4 | -1.5 |
| 5018 | Fallou Gueye | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Sacred Heart | 12 | -4.1 | -1.2 |
| 5076 | Abdou Yadd | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Sacred Heart | 13 | -4.4 | -1.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Nov 05 | vs | +7.8 | 74% | ||
| Sun Nov 08 | at | -2.6 | 42% | ||
| Thu Nov 12 | vs | +7.7 | 73% | ||
| Tue Nov 17 | at | -19.4 | 6% | ||
| Tue Nov 24 | at | -12.9 | 15% | ||
| Sun Nov 29 | vs | +10.3 | 80% | ||
| Fri Dec 04 | at | conf | -4.6 | 35% | |
| Sun Dec 06 | at | conf | -1.7 | 45% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | vs | +6.6 | 70% | ||
| Mon Dec 14 | vs | +1.4 | 54% | ||
| Wed Dec 16 | at | -14.1 | 13% | ||
| Sun Dec 20 | at | -5.0 | 34% | ||
| Tue Dec 22 | at | -23.5 | 3% | ||
| Fri Jan 01 | vs | conf | +5.0 | 66% | |
| Sun Jan 03 | vs | conf | +6.8 | 71% | |
| Fri Jan 08 | at | conf | -4.1 | 37% | |
| Sun Jan 10 | vs | conf | +4.4 | 64% | |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs | conf | +0.5 | 52% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | -2.2 | 43% | |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs | conf | +0.5 | 51% | |
| Fri Jan 22 | at | conf | +1.9 | 56% | |
| Sun Jan 24 | vs | conf | +0.6 | 52% | |
| Fri Jan 29 | at | conf | +2.9 | 59% | |
| Sun Jan 31 | vs | conf | +3.3 | 61% | |
| Fri Feb 05 | vs | conf | +1.9 | 56% | |
| Sun Feb 07 | at | conf | -0.4 | 49% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | conf | -4.0 | 37% | |
| Fri Feb 19 | vs | conf | +3.4 | 61% | |
| Sun Feb 21 | vs | conf | +0.6 | 52% | |
| Fri Feb 26 | at | conf | -5.0 | 34% | |
| Sun Feb 28 | at | conf | -3.1 | 40% |
Projected margin is from Sacred Heart's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.