Teams › Am. East · Compare UMass Lowell with another team
UMass Lowell
UMass Lowell returns 45% of last season's minutes and rates #248 on offense and #305 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -13.2 to +1.6.
Why we have them here
UMass Lowell's preseason projection of -5.9 (No. 287 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -3.9, less than the -3.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 291 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.3, about its neighbours' -1.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.0. It returns 45% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (70%). The projection leans most on Austin Green (+0.9), Jakai Newton (+0.2) and Jayden Harris (+0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Jakai Newton, a transfer from Georgia State, at +0.2. Its 80% range, -13.2 to +1.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 45% · Transfer 26% · Freshman 11%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 935 | Austin Green | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | UMass Lowell | 25 | +1.5 | +0.9 |
| 1350 | Jakai Newton | G | 6-4 | 2 | Transfer | Georgia State | 18 | +0.5 | +0.2 |
| 1514 | Jayden Harris | F | 6-7 | 1 | Transfer | Eastern Kentucky | 17 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 2493 | Victor Okojie | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | UMass Lowell | 20 | -0.7 | -0.3 |
| 2943 | Jasiah Cannady | G | 6-1 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 10 | -1.3 | -0.3 |
| 3447 | Elhadji Diallo | F | 6-7 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 12 | -1.6 | -0.5 |
| 4154 | Keenan Bey | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | UMass Lowell | 10 | -2.4 | -0.6 |
| 4711 | Kris Johnson | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | UMass Lowell | 9 | -3.5 | -0.8 |
| 4846 | Isaiah Walter | G | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | UMass Lowell | 11 | -3.6 | -1.0 |
| 5045 | Christian Jones | G | 5-11 | 1 | Transfer | Siena | 17 | -3.5 | -1.5 |
| 5128 | Khalil Farmer | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | UMass Lowell | 15 | -4.4 | -1.7 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Nov 05 | at |  Merrimack #176 | -8.5 | 24% | |
| Sun Nov 08 | vs |  Marist #205 | +3.3 | 61% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | at |  Massachusetts #178 | -9.8 | 22% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | vs |  Saint Peter's #289 | +6.2 | 69% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | at |  Cincinnati #42 | -20.3 | 5% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | N |  Hampton #288 | +0.1 | 50% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | at |  American University #188 | -9.1 | 23% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | N |  Radford #241 | -1.7 | 45% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  Georgetown #84 | -14.7 | 12% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Boston College #114 | -12.2 | 16% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | at |  Sacred Heart #272 | -6.6 | 30% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Stonehill #354 | +10.9 | 81% | |
| Sun Dec 20 | vs |  Boston University #230 | +4.0 | 63% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  New Hampshire #335 | conf | +5.5 | 67% |
| Thu Jan 07 | at |  Vermont #202 | conf | -5.3 | 33% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Bryant #327 | conf | +4.8 | 65% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  Binghamton #330 | conf | +5.0 | 66% |
| Mon Jan 18 | at |  Maine #318 | conf | -0.5 | 48% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  UMBC #180 | conf | -4.7 | 35% |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs |  UAlbany #293 | conf | +3.3 | 61% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  NJIT #347 | conf | +1.8 | 56% |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs | Maine #318 | conf | +4.5 | 64% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | New Hampshire #335 | conf | +0.0 | 50% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Binghamton #330 | conf | -0.3 | 49% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | NJIT #347 | conf | +6.8 | 71% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | UMBC #180 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Thu Feb 25 | at | Bryant #327 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Vermont #202 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Tue Mar 02 | at | UAlbany #293 | conf | -1.9 | 44% |
Projected margin is from UMass Lowell's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.