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Saint Peter's
Saint Peter's returns 50% of last season's minutes and rates #334 on offense and #195 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -13.5 to +1.2.
Why we have them here
Saint Peter's's preseason projection of -6.1 (No. 289 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -5.1, less than the -3.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 203 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.4, about its neighbours' -1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.9. It returns 50% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (70%). The projection leans most on Bryce Eaton (+0.2), Ken Walker (-0.4) and Phoenix Glassnor (-0.4); the newcomer who matters most is Ken Walker, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.4. Its 80% range, -13.5 to +1.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 45% · Transfer 34% · Other newcomer 22%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1398 | Bryce Eaton | G | 6-0 | 2 | Returning | Saint Peter's | 26 | +0.3 | +0.2 |
| 2923 | Phoenix Glassnor | G | 6-0 | 1 | Transfer | Toledo | 13 | -1.2 | -0.4 |
| 3073 | Ken Walker | F | 5-11 | 2 | Other newcomer | 11 | -1.4 | -0.4 | |
| 3336 | Bourgeois Tshilobo | F | 6-8 | 1 | Transfer | Weber State | 10 | -1.6 | -0.4 |
| 3489 | Mason Santiago | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 11 | -1.7 | -0.5 | |
| 3495 | Jahki Gupton | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Saint Peter's | 24 | -1.1 | -0.7 |
| 3563 | Xavier Thomas | F | 6-5 | 3 | Other newcomer | 11 | -1.8 | -0.5 | |
| 3774 | Bol Agu | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Saint Peter's | 15 | -1.7 | -0.6 |
| 3916 | Akil Watson | F | 6-9 | 3 | Other newcomer | 11 | -2.0 | -0.6 | |
| 3934 | Rob Wilmote | G | 1 | Returning | Saint Peter's | 9 | -2.3 | -0.5 | |
| 4380 | Jonathan Noudjihidi | C | 6-11 | 1 | Transfer | UC Davis | 9 | -2.9 | -0.7 |
| 4432 | Shaedon Simpson | G | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Saint Peter's | 15 | -2.4 | -0.9 |
| 4794 | Trey Patterson | F | 6-9 | 6 | Transfer | Rice | 11 | -3.5 | -1.0 |
| 5246 | Bryson Wilson | G | 6-5 | 3 | Transfer | Binghamton | 23 | -5.6 | -3.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at | -12.4 | 15% | ||
| Thu Nov 05 | vs | +7.0 | 72% | ||
| Sun Nov 08 | at | -1.4 | 46% | ||
| Wed Nov 11 | at | -14.1 | 13% | ||
| Tue Nov 17 | at | -6.2 | 31% | ||
| Sat Nov 21 | vs | +5.1 | 66% | ||
| Wed Nov 25 | at | -9.4 | 22% | ||
| Wed Dec 02 | at | conf | -1.0 | 47% | |
| Sun Dec 06 | vs | conf | +1.7 | 55% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | at | -13.2 | 14% | ||
| Fri Dec 18 | vs | +2.8 | 59% | ||
| Fri Jan 01 | at | conf | -5.0 | 34% | |
| Sun Jan 03 | vs | conf | +6.2 | 70% | |
| Fri Jan 08 | at | conf | +1.2 | 54% | |
| Sun Jan 10 | at | conf | +0.2 | 51% | |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs | conf | -1.4 | 45% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs | conf | -0.5 | 48% | |
| Mon Jan 18 | at | conf | -4.5 | 36% | |
| Sun Jan 24 | at | conf | +2.2 | 57% | |
| Fri Jan 29 | vs | conf | +5.5 | 67% | |
| Sun Jan 31 | vs | conf | +3.8 | 62% | |
| Fri Feb 05 | at | conf | -5.5 | 33% | |
| Sun Feb 07 | at | conf | -3.7 | 38% | |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | conf | +2.1 | 57% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | -0.5 | 48% | |
| Fri Feb 19 | at | conf | -3.4 | 39% | |
| Sun Feb 21 | vs | conf | +3.2 | 60% | |
| Fri Feb 26 | vs | conf | -0.7 | 48% | |
| Sun Feb 28 | at | conf | -2.9 | 41% |
Projected margin is from Saint Peter's's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.