Teams › CAA · Compare Stony Brook with another team
Stony Brook
Stony Brook returns 62% of last season's minutes and rates #288 on offense and #266 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -13.0 to +1.6.
Why we have them here
Stony Brook's preseason projection of -5.8 (No. 283 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.8, about the -3.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 241 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.8, about its neighbours' -1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.6. It returns 62% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (70%). The projection leans most on Jaden Daughtry (+1.6), Jonah Butler (+0.5) and Quin Gorman (-0.3); the newcomer who matters most is Jaden Daughtry, a transfer from Richmond, at +1.6. Its 80% range, -13.0 to +1.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 62% · Transfer 22% · Other newcomer 6%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 542 | Jaden Daughtry | F | 6-7 | 3 | Transfer | Richmond | 20 | +3.2 | +1.6 |
| 1089 | Jonah Butler | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Stony Brook | 17 | +1.2 | +0.5 |
| 2346 | Quin Gorman | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Stony Brook | 22 | -0.6 | -0.3 |
| 3224 | Tomas Valentiny | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Stony Brook | 20 | -1.1 | -0.6 |
| 3635 | Efe Vatan | F | 6-10 | 1 | Transfer | Oregon | 8 | -2.1 | -0.4 |
| 3734 | Morris Ugusuk | G | 6-4 | 3 | Transfer | West Virginia | 15 | -1.6 | -0.6 |
| 4058 | Liam Dagostino | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Stony Brook | 9 | -2.5 | -0.5 |
| 4060 | Jake Harbatkin | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Stony Brook | 9 | -2.5 | -0.5 |
| 4081 | Ethan Simmon | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Stony Brook | 18 | -1.8 | -0.8 |
| 4267 | Leonardo Van Elswyk | F | 7-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 12 | -2.4 | -0.7 | |
| 4328 | Andrew Okafor | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Stony Brook | 8 | -3.0 | -0.6 |
| 4902 | Collin O'Connor | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Stony Brook | 20 | -2.8 | -1.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  Northwestern #79 | -15.3 | 10% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | at |  Princeton #164 | -9.1 | 23% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | at |  Saint Peter's #289 | -5.1 | 34% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | vs |  Lindenwood #258 | +4.9 | 65% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  Delaware #325 | +7.3 | 72% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Maryland Eastern Shore #356 | +10.3 | 80% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Maine #318 | -3.3 | 39% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  La Salle #218 | +3.2 | 60% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | at |  Ohio State #27 | -21.0 | 4% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | vs |  New Haven #326 | +7.2 | 72% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Brown #184 | -8.4 | 25% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | vs |  Monmouth #216 | conf | +0.2 | 51% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Hofstra #124 | conf | -8.3 | 25% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Towson #193 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Thu Jan 14 | at |  North Carolina A&T #285 | conf | -1.9 | 44% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Elon #198 | conf | -4.7 | 35% |
| Mon Jan 18 | at |  Campbell #224 | conf | -5.0 | 34% |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs |  William & Mary #168 | conf | -1.3 | 46% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Northeastern #296 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs |  Hampton #288 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  Drexel #254 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs | Elon #198 | conf | -0.2 | 49% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | Campbell #224 | conf | +0.5 | 52% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at |  Charleston #141 | conf | -7.1 | 28% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at |  UNC Wilmington #101 | conf | -9.2 | 23% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Hofstra #124 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Thu Feb 25 | at | Drexel #254 | conf | -3.9 | 38% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Monmouth #216 | conf | -5.0 | 34% |
| Tue Mar 02 | vs | Northeastern #296 | conf | +3.2 | 60% |
Projected margin is from Stony Brook's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.