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Hofstra
Hofstra returns 50% of last season's minutes and rates #167 on offense and #96 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -4.7 to +10.1.
Why we have them here
Hofstra's preseason projection of +2.8 (No. 124 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -0.5, less than the +1.8 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 59 at the end of 2025-26) adds +1.8, more than its neighbours' +0.4; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +1.2. It returns 50% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (59%). The projection leans most on Deywilk Tavarez (+1.3), Biggie Patterson (+1.0) and Jaeden Roberts (+1.0); the newcomer who matters most is Deywilk Tavarez, a transfer from Loyola Chicago, at +1.3. Its 80% range, -4.7 to +10.1, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 40% · Transfer 41% · Freshman 6% · Other newcomer 13%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 751 | Deywilk Tavarez | G | 6-2 | 3 | Transfer | Loyola Chicago | 24 | +2.1 | +1.3 |
| 758 | Jaeden Roberts | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Hofstra | 14 | +2.7 | +1.0 |
| 860 | Biggie Patterson | G | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Hofstra | 22 | +1.9 | +1.0 |
| 1927 | Carlos Lopez | F | 6-1 | 3 | Other newcomer | 4 | -0.6 | -0.1 | |
| 2065 | Imanuel Zorgvol | C | 7-0 | 4 | Transfer | Youngstown State | 17 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 2199 | Trey Boyd III | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -0.8 | -0.1 | |
| 2222 | Brandon Morgan | F | 6-4 | 2 | Other newcomer | 8 | -0.8 | -0.2 | |
| 2301 | Tanner Thomas | F | 6-6 | 5 | Other newcomer | 7 | -0.9 | -0.2 | |
| 2586 | Alex Tsynkevich | C | 6-10 | 3 | Returning | Hofstra | 9 | -1.1 | -0.3 |
| 2927 | Spence Wewe | F | 7-0 | 2 | Transfer | Quinnipiac | 18 | -1.0 | -0.4 |
| 3030 | Xavier Blake | G | 6-4 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 11 | -1.3 | -0.4 |
| 3082 | Joshua DeCady | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Hofstra | 22 | -1.0 | -0.5 |
| 3793 | A.J. Wills | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | Hofstra | 13 | -1.8 | -0.6 |
| 4909 | Justin Moore | G | 6-3 | 4 | Transfer | Loyola Chicago | 23 | -2.7 | -1.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Nov 05 | at | -3.4 | 39% | ||
| Tue Nov 10 | at | -12.1 | 16% | ||
| Fri Nov 13 | vs | +11.7 | 83% | ||
| Tue Nov 17 | N | -0.3 | 49% | ||
| Fri Nov 27 | vs | +8.6 | 76% | ||
| Sat Nov 28 | vs | +7.4 | 73% | ||
| Sun Nov 29 | vs | +8.3 | 75% | ||
| Tue Dec 01 | at | -10.8 | 19% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | at | -12.8 | 15% | ||
| Tue Dec 08 | at | -3.4 | 39% | ||
| Sat Dec 12 | at | -1.9 | 44% | ||
| Mon Dec 21 | vs | +12.6 | 85% | ||
| Sat Jan 02 | vs | conf | +8.3 | 75% | |
| Thu Jan 07 | at | conf | -0.2 | 49% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | +4.9 | 65% | |
| Thu Jan 14 | at | conf | +1.1 | 54% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | +2.7 | 59% | |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs | conf | +6.9 | 71% | |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs | conf | +9.1 | 77% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | conf | +1.1 | 53% | |
| Thu Jan 28 | at | conf | +1.0 | 53% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | conf | -1.2 | 46% | |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs | conf | +8.5 | 76% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | conf | +5.2 | 66% | |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | conf | +4.7 | 65% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | conf | +0.8 | 53% | |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | conf | +3.5 | 61% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | +3.2 | 60% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | conf | +1.7 | 56% | |
| Tue Mar 02 | vs | conf | +6.0 | 69% |
Projected margin is from Hofstra's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.