Roster Math

Teams › CAA · Compare Drexel with another team

Drexel

Drexel returns 84% of last season's minutes and rates #306 on offense and #176 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -11.3 to +3.4.

-4.0
Rating · #254 of 365
-4.2
Offense · #306
+0.2
Defense · #176
-11.3 to +3.4
80% range
0%
Chance of top 25
0%
Chance of No. 1
14-16
Projected record · 8 to 19 wins
8-10
Projected in CAA · 5 to 13 wins

Why we have them here

Drexel's preseason projection of -4.0 (No. 254 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -3.9, less than the -2.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 230 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.8, about its neighbours' -0.8; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.4. It returns 84% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on Eli Beard (+0.9), Dillon Tingler (+0.5) and Kevon Vanderhorst (-0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Moses Hipps, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.3. Its 80% range, -11.3 to +3.4, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.

Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.

Roster

Returning 74% · Other newcomer 10%

Eli Beard+0.9
Dillon Tingler+0.5
Kevon Vanderhorst-0.1
Moses Hipps-0.3
Ignacio Campoy Galvez-0.5
Clem Edomwonyin-0.6
Ralph Akuta-0.7
Horace Simmons Jr.-0.8
Josh Reed-1.3
Martin de LaPorterie-1.3
Villiam Garcia Adsten-1.8
RankPlayerPosHtD1 yrsGroupFromMPGRatingContrib.
953Eli BeardG5-111ReturningDrexel25+1.4+0.9
1123Dillon TinglerG6-72ReturningDrexel17+1.1+0.5
1885Kevon VanderhorstG6-22ReturningDrexel27-0.2-0.1
3259Moses HippsF6-40Other newcomer8-1.8-0.3
3969Ignacio Campoy GalvezF6-71ReturningDrexel8-2.5-0.5
3999Clem EdomwonyinF6-92Other newcomer11-2.1-0.6
4421Ralph AkutaF7-12ReturningDrexel10-2.9-0.7
4585Horace Simmons Jr.F6-62ReturningDrexel10-3.1-0.8
4784Josh ReedG6-22ReturningDrexel19-2.6-1.3
4939Martin de LaPorterieF7-11ReturningDrexel15-3.4-1.3
5149Villiam Garcia AdstenG6-83ReturningDrexel17-4.2-1.8

A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.

Schedule

DateOpponentProj. marginWin prob.
Tue Nov 03atVirginia #19-21.94%
Sat Nov 07vsColgate #197+4.163%
Wed Nov 11vsAmerican University #188+3.762%
Sat Nov 14atMaine #318-2.143%
Fri Nov 20vsSaint Joseph's #129+1.455%
Tue Nov 24atPennsylvania #144-8.924%
Sat Nov 28atMount St. Mary's #204-6.031%
Tue Dec 01atOld Dominion #297-3.439%
Sun Dec 13atNJIT #347+0.050%
Tue Dec 15atPittsburgh #68-14.012%
Sat Dec 19vsUAlbany #293+7.272%
Tue Dec 22vsNorfolk State #300+7.573%
Thu Dec 31atWilliam & Mary #168conf-5.832%
Sat Jan 02atHampton #288conf-1.844%
Thu Jan 07vsCharleston #141conf-0.947%
Thu Jan 14vsNortheastern #296conf+4.564%
Sat Jan 16atMonmouth #216conf-3.738%
Mon Jan 18atHofstra #124conf-6.929%
Sat Jan 23vsNorth Carolina A&T #285conf+4.063%
Thu Jan 28vsTowson #193conf+1.053%
Sat Jan 30atStony Brook #283conf-1.346%
Thu Feb 04atNortheastern #296conf+0.150%
Sat Feb 06vsMonmouth #216conf+1.655%
Thu Feb 11atCampbell #224conf-3.738%
Sat Feb 13atNorth Carolina A&T #285conf-0.748%
Thu Feb 18vsUNC Wilmington #101conf-3.240%
Sat Feb 20vsElon #198conf+1.254%
Thu Feb 25vsStony Brook #283conf+3.962%
Sat Feb 27vsHofstra #124conf-1.744%
Tue Mar 02atTowson #193conf-4.535%

Projected margin is from Drexel's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.