Teams › Sun Belt · Compare Old Dominion with another team
Old Dominion
Old Dominion returns 49% of last season's minutes and rates #299 on offense and #281 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -14.0 to +0.8.
Why we have them here
Old Dominion's preseason projection of -6.6 (No. 297 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -4.0, about the -3.7 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 242 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.7, about its neighbours' -1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.2. It returns 49% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (67%). The projection leans most on Bubu Benjamin (+0.3), Zacch Wiggins (-0.1) and Scottie Hubbard (-0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Bubu Benjamin, a transfer from George Washington, at +0.3. Its 80% range, -14.0 to +0.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 49% · Transfer 18% · Other newcomer 4%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1344 | Bubu Benjamin | G | 6-7 | 3 | Transfer | George Washington | 21 | +0.5 | +0.3 |
| 1802 | Zacch Wiggins | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Old Dominion | 23 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| 2131 | Scottie Hubbard | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Old Dominion | 20 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 2966 | Adante' Holiman | F | 5-11 | 4 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.6 | -0.3 | |
| 3586 | CJ Parker | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Old Dominion | 9 | -1.9 | -0.4 |
| 4048 | Rieco Hellams | G | 5-10 | 2 | Returning | Old Dominion | 9 | -2.5 | -0.5 |
| 4064 | Ben Nacey | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Old Dominion | 12 | -2.1 | -0.6 |
| 4886 | KC Shaw | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Old Dominion | 26 | -2.4 | -1.6 |
| 4913 | Khoi Thurmon | G | 6-1 | 1 | Transfer | Oakland | 15 | -3.3 | -1.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Western Michigan #151 | +0.1 | 50% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | at |  Bucknell #313 | -3.8 | 38% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | at |  Norfolk State #300 | -6.5 | 30% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Longwood #195 | +1.8 | 56% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | at |  Virginia #19 | -24.9 | 2% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | vs |  Hampton #288 | +4.8 | 65% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | at |  Virginia Tech #45 | -20.6 | 5% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | vs |  Drexel #254 | +3.4 | 61% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Richmond #136 | -0.6 | 48% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  George Mason #107 | -13.4 | 14% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | at |  Marshall #247 | conf | -4.9 | 35% |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  South Alabama #228 | conf | -4.6 | 35% |
| Mon Dec 28 | vs |  Charleston Southern #276 | +4.6 | 64% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | vs |  UL Monroe #359 | conf | +7.7 | 73% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Louisiana Tech #269 | +4.1 | 63% | |
| Thu Jan 07 | at |  Louisiana #294 | conf | -2.1 | 43% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Southern Miss #214 | conf | -5.7 | 32% |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs |  App State #229 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  James Madison #147 | conf | -8.0 | 26% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Arkansas State #134 | conf | -4.2 | 37% |
| Wed Jan 27 | at | App State #229 | conf | -5.0 | 34% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Georgia Southern #298 | conf | -2.3 | 43% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs |  Georgia State #260 | conf | +0.7 | 52% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | Georgia Southern #298 | conf | +2.2 | 57% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at |  Coastal Carolina #301 | conf | -1.8 | 44% |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs | James Madison #147 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Marshall #247 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Tue Feb 23 | at | Georgia State #260 | conf | -4.2 | 37% |
| Fri Feb 26 | vs | Coastal Carolina #301 | conf | +2.2 | 57% |
Projected margin is from Old Dominion's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.