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UL Monroe
UL Monroe returns 66% of last season's minutes and rates #354 on offense and #360 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -21.4 to -6.8.
Why we have them here
UL Monroe's preseason projection of -14.2 (No. 359 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -8.4, less than the -7.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 355 at the end of 2025-26) adds -3.1, about its neighbours' -3.0; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -3.0. It returns 66% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (81%). The projection leans most on Quaran McPherson (+0.1), Dayjaun Anderson (+0.0) and Lance Carr (-0.3); the newcomer who matters most is Quaran McPherson, a transfer from UAB, at +0.1. Its 80% range, -21.4 to -6.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 50% · Transfer 35% · Other newcomer 15%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1485 | Quaran McPherson | G | 6-4 | 3 | Transfer | UAB | 15 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| 1598 | Dayjaun Anderson | G | 6-2 | 1 | Transfer | UAB | 21 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 2900 | Lance Carr | F | 6-7 | 1 | Transfer | UAB | 8 | -1.5 | -0.3 |
| 4691 | Cam Campbell | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | UL Monroe | 6 | -4.3 | -0.7 |
| 4728 | Dylan Diaz | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | UL Monroe | 21 | -2.4 | -1.3 |
| 4827 | Alex Huguet Carrasco | G | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | UL Monroe | 11 | -3.6 | -1.0 |
| 4868 | Robert Cowherd | G | 6-5 | 3 | Transfer | Southern Miss | 9 | -4.1 | -0.9 |
| 4888 | Brady Craig | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 15 | -3.2 | -1.2 | |
| 4906 | Ajay Tew | G | 6-11 | 3 | Returning | UL Monroe | 6 | -5.3 | -0.8 |
| 4923 | Brentay Noel | F | 6-10 | 3 | Other newcomer | 15 | -3.3 | -1.2 | |
| 4969 | Khalil London | G | 6-3 | 3 | Transfer | Tennessee State | 16 | -3.4 | -1.3 |
| 5181 | Wiggy Ball | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | UL Monroe | 12 | -5.5 | -1.7 |
| 5201 | Przemek Hartman | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | UL Monroe | 11 | -6.3 | -1.7 |
| 5209 | Alex Molofeev | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | UL Monroe | 20 | -4.7 | -2.4 |
| 5213 | Micah Caster | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | UL Monroe | 14 | -5.8 | -2.0 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs | -1.3 | 46% | ||
| Mon Nov 09 | at | -28.7 | 1% | ||
| Tue Nov 10 | at | -25.8 | 2% | ||
| Fri Nov 13 | at | -25.2 | 2% | ||
| Sat Nov 14 | at | -23.7 | 3% | ||
| Wed Nov 18 | at | -25.9 | 2% | ||
| Tue Nov 24 | vs | -0.8 | 47% | ||
| Sun Nov 29 | at | -13.4 | 14% | ||
| Wed Dec 02 | at | -13.0 | 15% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | vs | conf | -4.5 | 36% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at | -22.8 | 3% | ||
| Wed Dec 16 | at | conf | -7.3 | 28% | |
| Mon Dec 28 | at | -27.6 | 1% | ||
| Thu Dec 31 | at | conf | -7.7 | 27% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | -7.3 | 28% | |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs | conf | -5.1 | 34% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | -5.3 | 33% | |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs | conf | -5.6 | 33% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | -13.8 | 13% | |
| Wed Jan 20 | at | conf | -11.3 | 18% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | -0.9 | 47% | ||
| Sat Jan 30 | at | conf | -13.4 | 14% | |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs | conf | -8.3 | 25% | |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | conf | -15.3 | 11% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | -11.6 | 17% | ||
| Wed Feb 17 | vs | conf | -6.2 | 31% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | conf | -9.7 | 22% | |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | conf | -10.0 | 21% | |
| Fri Feb 26 | vs | conf | -2.9 | 41% |
Projected margin is from UL Monroe's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.