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Ole Miss
Ole Miss returns 26% of last season's minutes and rates #63 on offense and #71 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +2.8 to +17.3.
Why we have them here
Ole Miss's preseason projection of +10.1 (No. 61 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +6.2, about the +6.2 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 81 at the end of 2025-26) adds +1.1, about its neighbours' +1.4; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +2.2. It returns 26% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (32%). The projection leans most on Adam Clark (+4.9), Corey Stephenson (+1.9) and Ilias Kamardine (+1.8); the newcomer who matters most is Adam Clark, a transfer from Seton Hall, at +4.9. Its 80% range, +2.8 to +17.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 26% · Transfer 64% · Freshman 9% · Other newcomer 1%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Adam Clark | G | 5-10 | 3 | Transfer | Seton Hall | 24 | +8.1 | +4.9 |
| 447 | Micah Handlogten | C | 7-1 | 4 | Transfer | Florida | 12 | +5.0 | +1.5 |
| 486 | Corey Stephenson | G | 6-6 | 3 | Transfer | Florida International | 23 | +3.3 | +1.9 |
| 520 | Ilias Kamardine | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Ole Miss | 22 | +3.2 | +1.8 |
| 619 | Patton Pinkins | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Ole Miss | 18 | +3.1 | +1.4 |
| 652 | Dasear Haskins | G | 6-8 | 2 | Transfer | Saint Joseph's | 19 | +2.9 | +1.4 |
| 902 | Roman Siulepa | F | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | Pittsburgh | 17 | +1.9 | +0.8 |
| 1873 | Christian Brown | F | 6-8 | 1 | Transfer | James Madison | 10 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| 2044 | Max Smith | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Ole Miss | 3 | -1.0 | -0.1 |
| 2094 | Jaron Saulsberry | F | 6-6 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 7 | -0.7 | -0.1 |
| 2131 | Yohance Connor | G | 6-2 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 5 | -0.8 | -0.1 |
| 2140 | Ben Henshall | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 3 | -1.2 | -0.1 | |
| 2151 | Daniel Patton | F | 6-7 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 5 | -0.9 | -0.1 |
| 2161 | Hobert Grayson IV | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Ole Miss | 4 | -1.0 | -0.1 |
| 2396 | Zach Day | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Ole Miss | 5 | -1.3 | -0.2 |
| 2749 | Santiago Trouet | F | 6-11 | 3 | Transfer | Arizona State | 15 | -1.0 | -0.4 |
| 4005 | Stefan Cicic | C | 7-0 | 2 | Transfer | Pepperdine | 7 | -2.8 | -0.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs | +21.8 | 96% | ||
| Fri Nov 06 | vs | +13.1 | 86% | ||
| Tue Nov 10 | vs | +16.0 | 90% | ||
| Tue Nov 17 | vs | +15.8 | 90% | ||
| Mon Nov 23 | N | -1.7 | 45% | ||
| Tue Dec 01 | at | -8.5 | 25% | ||
| Mon Dec 07 | vs | +13.2 | 85% | ||
| Sat Dec 12 | vs | +22.8 | 97% | ||
| Tue Dec 15 | vs | +13.7 | 87% | ||
| Sat Dec 19 | vs | +3.0 | 59% | ||
| Tue Dec 22 | N | +8.6 | 76% | ||
| Mon Dec 28 | vs | +21.9 | 96% | ||
| Sat Jan 02 | vs | conf | -1.0 | 47% | |
| Tue Jan 05 | at | conf | -9.6 | 22% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | -3.4 | 39% | |
| Wed Jan 13 | at | conf | -10.6 | 20% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | -10.1 | 21% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | conf | -1.0 | 47% | |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs | conf | -1.8 | 44% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | conf | -4.9 | 35% | |
| Tue Feb 02 | vs | conf | -3.3 | 40% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | conf | -4.9 | 34% | |
| Tue Feb 09 | at | conf | -8.8 | 24% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | +3.8 | 62% | |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs | conf | -4.7 | 35% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | -0.2 | 49% | |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | conf | -18.3 | 7% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | conf | -1.1 | 46% | |
| Tue Mar 02 | vs | conf | -4.3 | 36% | |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | conf | -1.1 | 46% |
Projected margin is from Ole Miss's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.