Teams › Horizon · Compare Youngstown State with another team
Youngstown State
Youngstown State returns 57% of last season's minutes and rates #175 on offense and #261 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -9.6 to +5.1.
Why we have them here
Youngstown State's preseason projection of -2.2 (No. 215 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.9, about the -1.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 185 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.1, about its neighbours' -0.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.6. It returns 57% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (66%). The projection leans most on Cris Carroll (+3.8), Tae Blackshear (+0.0) and Jeff Nwankwo (-0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Jeff Nwankwo, a transfer from Oklahoma, at -0.1. Its 80% range, -9.6 to +5.1, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 47% · Transfer 38% · Other newcomer 10%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157 | Cris Carroll | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Youngstown State | 28 | +5.4 | +3.8 |
| 1732 | Tae Blackshear | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Youngstown State | 16 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
| 1882 | Jeff Nwankwo | G | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | Oklahoma | 15 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| 2124 | Linus Holmstrom | G | 6-3 | 2 | Transfer | VMI | 24 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 2426 | Derrick Anderson | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Youngstown State | 9 | -1.0 | -0.2 |
| 3635 | Markus Navarra | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 10 | -1.9 | -0.5 | |
| 3672 | Connor Swider | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 10 | -1.9 | -0.5 | |
| 4112 | Dom Aekins | G | 5-10 | 1 | Transfer | Duquesne | 10 | -2.4 | -0.6 |
| 4212 | Shaheed Solebo | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Youngstown State | 9 | -2.7 | -0.6 |
| 4584 | Japhet Moupadele | F | 6-8 | 1 | Transfer | San José State | 12 | -2.8 | -0.9 |
| 4608 | Jermaine Coleman | G | 6-7 | 2 | Transfer | St. Thomas-Minnesota | 15 | -2.7 | -1.0 |
| 4824 | Cam Polak | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Youngstown State | 17 | -2.9 | -1.2 |
| 4859 | Jaiden Haynes | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Youngstown State | 15 | -3.2 | -1.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  St. Bonaventure #126 | -8.5 | 24% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  Ohio State #27 | -18.6 | 7% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | at |  Central Michigan #259 | -4.6 | 35% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Marshall #247 | +6.7 | 71% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  Cincinnati #42 | -17.3 | 8% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | vs |  William & Mary #168 | +4.4 | 64% | |
| Mon Nov 23 | vs |  Maryland Eastern Shore #356 | +12.5 | 85% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  Cleveland State #207 | conf | -2.9 | 41% |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Robert Morris #113 | conf | -6.2 | 30% |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  South Carolina #98 | -11.6 | 17% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | at |  Ole Miss #61 | -13.7 | 13% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | vs |  Northern Illinois #333 | conf | +7.3 | 72% |
| Sun Jan 03 | at |  IU Indianapolis #279 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  Oakland #159 | conf | +0.6 | 52% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Detroit Mercy #312 | conf | +6.3 | 70% |
| Thu Jan 14 | at |  Green Bay #281 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Sun Jan 17 | at |  Milwaukee #242 | conf | -1.7 | 44% |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs | IU Indianapolis #279 | conf | +5.2 | 66% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Purdue Fort Wayne #212 | conf | +2.5 | 58% |
| Wed Jan 27 | at | Detroit Mercy #312 | conf | +1.6 | 55% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | Oakland #159 | conf | -4.1 | 37% |
| Thu Feb 04 | at |  Northern Kentucky #270 | conf | -0.7 | 48% |
| Sun Feb 07 | vs | Robert Morris #113 | conf | -1.4 | 45% |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | Northern Illinois #333 | conf | +3.0 | 60% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Cleveland State #207 | conf | +2.4 | 58% |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs |  Wright State #165 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
| Sun Feb 21 | at | Purdue Fort Wayne #212 | conf | -2.8 | 41% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | Green Bay #281 | conf | +4.6 | 65% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Milwaukee #242 | conf | +3.5 | 61% |
Projected margin is from Youngstown State's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.