Teams › Horizon · Compare Wright State with another team
Wright State
Wright State returns 70% of last season's minutes and rates #133 on offense and #230 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -7.4 to +7.5.
Why we have them here
Wright State's preseason projection of +0.1 (No. 165 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -0.3, about the -0.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 101 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.9, about its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.9. It returns 70% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (62%). The projection leans most on Kellen Pickett (+2.7), Andrea Holden (+1.1) and Dominic Pangonis (+0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Ilija Milijaševic, a transfer from DePaul, at -0.1. Its 80% range, -7.4 to +7.5, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 62% · Transfer 13% · Other newcomer 8%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 288 | Kellen Pickett | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Wright State | 25 | +4.4 | +2.7 |
| 807 | Andrea Holden | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Wright State | 20 | +2.1 | +1.1 |
| 1401 | Dominic Pangonis | G | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Wright State | 25 | +0.3 | +0.2 |
| 1776 | Ilija Milijaševic | G | 6-2 | 1 | Transfer | DePaul | 13 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| 2578 | Isaiah Williams | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.2 | -0.2 | |
| 2602 | Ayden Davis | C | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | Wright State | 11 | -1.0 | -0.3 |
| 2619 | PJ Douglas | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.2 | -0.2 | |
| 3000 | Logan Woods | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Wright State | 19 | -1.0 | -0.5 |
| 3062 | Nikola Djapa | C | 6-11 | 3 | Transfer | Colorado State | 12 | -1.3 | -0.4 |
| 4968 | Solomon Callaghan | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Wright State | 24 | -2.8 | -1.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Air Force #357 | +14.5 | 88% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | vs |  Florida Atlantic #122 | +3.7 | 62% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | at |  Toledo #173 | -4.6 | 35% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | at |  Samford #190 | -5.0 | 34% | |
| Mon Nov 23 | N |  Akron #73 | -6.1 | 31% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  St. Bonaventure #126 | -1.7 | 44% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | N |  Yale #95 | -3.9 | 37% | |
| Thu Dec 03 | at |  Milwaukee #242 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Green Bay #281 | conf | +1.4 | 55% |
| Wed Dec 16 | vs |  Stetson #311 | +10.7 | 81% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  Temple #149 | -5.5 | 33% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | at |  Southern Indiana #315 | +0.9 | 53% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Miami (OH) #96 | -10.4 | 20% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | at |  Cleveland State #207 | conf | -1.3 | 46% |
| Sun Jan 03 | vs |  Purdue Fort Wayne #212 | conf | +4.0 | 63% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  IU Indianapolis #279 | conf | +6.8 | 71% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Northern Illinois #333 | conf | +4.6 | 65% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  Robert Morris #113 | conf | +0.0 | 50% |
| Sun Jan 17 | at |  Northern Kentucky #270 | conf | +1.0 | 53% |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs |  Detroit Mercy #312 | conf | +7.9 | 74% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | Northern Illinois #333 | conf | +8.8 | 76% |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs | Cleveland State #207 | conf | +3.9 | 62% |
| Sun Jan 31 | at | Purdue Fort Wayne #212 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
| Thu Feb 04 | at |  Oakland #159 | conf | -2.5 | 42% |
| Sun Feb 07 | at | Detroit Mercy #312 | conf | +3.3 | 60% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | Green Bay #281 | conf | +6.0 | 69% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Milwaukee #242 | conf | +5.0 | 66% |
| Wed Feb 17 | at |  Youngstown State #215 | conf | -0.9 | 47% |
| Sun Feb 21 | vs | Northern Kentucky #270 | conf | +6.2 | 69% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | IU Indianapolis #279 | conf | +1.4 | 54% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Oakland #159 | conf | +2.2 | 57% |
Projected margin is from Wright State's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.