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Purdue Fort Wayne
Purdue Fort Wayne returns 91% of last season's minutes and rates #194 on offense and #231 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -9.3 to +5.2.
Why we have them here
Purdue Fort Wayne's preseason projection of -2.1 (No. 212 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.8, less than the -1.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 237 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.6, about its neighbours' -0.4; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +1.0. It returns 91% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (65%). The projection leans most on DeAndre Craig Jr. (+1.6), Yuval Levin (+0.0) and Mason Shrout (-0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Solomon Richard, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.4. Its 80% range, -9.3 to +5.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 74% · Transfer 9% · Other newcomer 17%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 618 | DeAndre Craig Jr. | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | Purdue Fort Wayne | 25 | +2.6 | +1.6 |
| 1687 | Yuval Levin | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Purdue Fort Wayne | 13 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
| 2065 | Mason Shrout | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Purdue Fort Wayne | 10 | -0.6 | -0.1 |
| 2231 | Ebrahim Kaba | G | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Purdue Fort Wayne | 14 | -0.6 | -0.2 |
| 2243 | Mikale Stevenson | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | Purdue Fort Wayne | 26 | -0.5 | -0.3 |
| 3195 | Ja'Corey Lipkins | F | 6-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.7 | -0.4 | |
| 3229 | Solomon Richard | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.7 | -0.4 | |
| 3592 | Danny Kelly | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -2.0 | -0.4 | |
| 3661 | Deangelo Elisee | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Purdue Fort Wayne | 16 | -1.5 | -0.6 |
| 3672 | Ashton Williamson | G | 6-3 | 2 | Transfer | Florida International | 19 | -1.4 | -0.7 |
| 3840 | Quentin Morgan | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -2.2 | -0.5 | |
| 4575 | EJ Mosley | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | Purdue Fort Wayne | 13 | -2.7 | -0.9 |
| 4951 | Darius Duffy | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Purdue Fort Wayne | 18 | -3.1 | -1.4 |
| 4977 | Chris Morgan | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | Purdue Fort Wayne | 13 | -3.8 | -1.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Nov 03 | at |  Duquesne #156 | -7.8 | 26% | |
| Thu Nov 12 | vs |  Western Michigan #151 | +3.8 | 62% | |
| Sun Nov 15 | at |  Eastern Illinois #324 | -1.0 | 47% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  Bradley #194 | -6.9 | 29% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | at |  Southeast Missouri State #219 | -5.4 | 33% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  Wofford #306 | +9.2 | 77% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Detroit Mercy #312 | conf | +6.7 | 71% |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Cleveland State #207 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Wed Dec 09 | at |  Xavier #57 | -16.0 | 10% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Buffalo #209 | -3.7 | 38% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Wisconsin #34 | -18.6 | 7% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | vs |  Robert Morris #113 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
| Sun Jan 03 | at |  Wright State #165 | conf | -4.0 | 37% |
| Thu Jan 07 | at |  Milwaukee #242 | conf | -1.7 | 45% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Green Bay #281 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  Oakland #159 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  IU Indianapolis #279 | conf | +5.5 | 67% |
| Wed Jan 20 | at | Robert Morris #113 | conf | -6.3 | 30% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Youngstown State #215 | conf | -2.5 | 42% |
| Fri Jan 29 | vs |  Northern Kentucky #270 | conf | +5.0 | 65% |
| Sun Jan 31 | vs | Wright State #165 | conf | +1.2 | 54% |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs | Milwaukee #242 | conf | +3.8 | 62% |
| Sun Feb 07 | at | IU Indianapolis #279 | conf | -0.3 | 49% |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | Cleveland State #207 | conf | -2.9 | 41% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs |  Northern Illinois #333 | conf | +7.7 | 73% |
| Wed Feb 17 | at | Oakland #159 | conf | -4.1 | 37% |
| Sun Feb 21 | vs | Youngstown State #215 | conf | +2.8 | 59% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | Detroit Mercy #312 | conf | +1.7 | 56% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Northern Kentucky #270 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
Projected margin is from Purdue Fort Wayne's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.