Teams › Horizon · Compare Oakland with another team
Oakland
Oakland returns 72% of last season's minutes and rates #165 on offense and #166 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -6.7 to +8.0.
Why we have them here
Oakland's preseason projection of +0.6 (No. 159 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +0.3, about the +0.6 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 133 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.8, about its neighbours' +0.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.8. It returns 72% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (61%). The projection leans most on Brett White II (+1.2), Chris Fields Jr. (+0.9) and Ziare Wells (+0.8); the newcomer who matters most is Chris Fields Jr., a transfer from Campbell, at +0.9. Its 80% range, -6.7 to +8.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 65% · Transfer 28% · Other newcomer 7%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 782 | Brett White II | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Oakland | 22 | +2.1 | +1.2 |
| 857 | Chris Fields Jr. | F | 6-7 | 3 | Transfer | Campbell | 16 | +2.2 | +0.9 |
| 981 | Ziare Wells | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Oakland | 25 | +1.4 | +0.8 |
| 1051 | Belal El Shakery | F | 6-8 | 3 | Transfer | New Hampshire | 24 | +1.2 | +0.7 |
| 1685 | Brady Swartz | G | 6-7 | 1 | Transfer | Western Michigan | 17 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2145 | Tuburu Naivalurua | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Oakland | 25 | -0.4 | -0.3 |
| 2233 | Donny Yeager | F | 6-0 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.1 | -0.1 | |
| 2330 | Hamoudy Mashhour | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.3 | -0.1 | |
| 2787 | Nassim Mashhour | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Oakland | 18 | -0.9 | -0.4 |
| 2794 | William Kassi | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.7 | -0.2 | |
| 3173 | MJ Yeager | G | 5-10 | 1 | Returning | Oakland | 4 | -2.3 | -0.2 |
| 3466 | Nate Deer | F | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | Oakland | 5 | -2.4 | -0.3 |
| 3712 | Michael Houge | F | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Oakland | 20 | -1.4 | -0.7 |
| 4462 | Warren Marshall IV | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Oakland | 10 | -2.9 | -0.7 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Michigan #11 | -21.3 | 4% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  Stanford #69 | -12.7 | 15% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | at |  UC Santa Barbara #103 | -8.1 | 25% | |
| Mon Nov 09 | at |  Alabama #17 | -21.4 | 4% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | at |  Boise State #87 | -11.4 | 18% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Northern Iowa #88 | +0.9 | 53% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  Arizona State #52 | -14.4 | 12% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | at |  Purdue #38 | -15.2 | 11% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | at |  Houston #8 | -22.5 | 3% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Northern Kentucky #270 | conf | +6.4 | 69% |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  IU Indianapolis #279 | conf | +1.8 | 56% |
| Tue Dec 08 | at |  Arkansas #25 | -19.5 | 6% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | at |  Toledo #173 | -4.5 | 36% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Michigan State #6 | -22.1 | 4% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | vs |  Green Bay #281 | conf | +6.3 | 69% |
| Sun Jan 03 | vs |  Milwaukee #242 | conf | +5.1 | 66% |
| Wed Jan 06 | at |  Youngstown State #215 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Robert Morris #113 | conf | -4.5 | 36% |
| Thu Jan 14 | at |  Purdue Fort Wayne #212 | conf | -0.9 | 47% |
| Sun Jan 17 | vs |  Detroit Mercy #312 | conf | +8.1 | 74% |
| Wed Jan 20 | at | Milwaukee #242 | conf | +0.2 | 51% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Cleveland State #207 | conf | +4.0 | 63% |
| Wed Jan 27 | at |  Northern Illinois #333 | conf | +5.1 | 66% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | Youngstown State #215 | conf | +4.1 | 63% |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs |  Wright State #165 | conf | +2.5 | 58% |
| Sun Feb 07 | at | Cleveland State #207 | conf | -1.0 | 47% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | IU Indianapolis #279 | conf | +7.0 | 71% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Robert Morris #113 | conf | +0.0 | 50% |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs | Purdue Fort Wayne #212 | conf | +4.1 | 63% |
| Sun Feb 21 | at | Detroit Mercy #312 | conf | +3.7 | 62% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | Northern Kentucky #270 | conf | +1.4 | 54% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Wright State #165 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
Projected margin is from Oakland's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.