Teams › Horizon · Compare IU Indianapolis with another team
IU Indianapolis
IU Indianapolis returns 77% of last season's minutes and rates #162 on offense and #353 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -12.8 to +1.9.
Why we have them here
IU Indianapolis's preseason projection of -5.4 (No. 279 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.1, more than the -3.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 313 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.6, about its neighbours' -1.0; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.1. It returns 77% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (69%). The projection leans most on Gus Etchison (+1.3), Pat Curtin (+0.9) and Finley Woodward (+0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Gus Etchison, a transfer from Idaho State, at +1.3. Its 80% range, -12.8 to +1.9, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 77% · Transfer 23%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 607 | Gus Etchison | G | 5-11 | 5 | Transfer | Idaho State | 14 | +3.5 | +1.3 |
| 936 | Pat Curtin | G | 6-3 | 1 | Transfer | Bucknell | 22 | +1.6 | +0.9 |
| 1471 | Finley Woodward | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | IU Indianapolis | 25 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 2182 | Maguire Mitchell | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | IU Indianapolis | 22 | -0.5 | -0.2 |
| 2252 | Kyler D'Augustino | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | IU Indianapolis | 25 | -0.5 | -0.3 |
| 2586 | Kameron Tinsley | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | IU Indianapolis | 17 | -0.8 | -0.3 |
| 3073 | Aiden Miller | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | IU Indianapolis | 13 | -1.3 | -0.4 |
| 3422 | Reece Hagy | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | IU Indianapolis | 10 | -1.7 | -0.4 |
| 3556 | Lav Cvetkovic | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | IU Indianapolis | 5 | -2.7 | -0.3 |
| 3748 | Garrett Sever | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | IU Indianapolis | 4 | -3.1 | -0.3 |
| 3873 | Corey Boston | G | 5-10 | 1 | Returning | IU Indianapolis | 4 | -3.4 | -0.3 |
| 4159 | Ajay Holubar | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | IU Indianapolis | 4 | -3.9 | -0.4 |
| 4325 | Gabe Stewart | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | IU Indianapolis | 5 | -4.0 | -0.5 |
| 4485 | Jason Clarke Jr. | G | 6-0 | 2 | Transfer | App State | 10 | -3.0 | -0.7 |
| 4788 | JP Dragas | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | IU Indianapolis | 11 | -3.5 | -1.0 |
| 4854 | Matt Compas | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | IU Indianapolis | 10 | -3.8 | -1.0 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 07 | vs |  UT Martin #271 | +5.7 | 68% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | vs |  Southern Indiana #315 | +8.0 | 74% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Morehead State #265 | -6.7 | 30% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  Penn State #89 | -16.5 | 9% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | N |  Maryland Eastern Shore #356 | +5.6 | 67% | |
| Mon Nov 23 | N |  William & Mary #168 | -4.2 | 37% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | at |  Tulsa #82 | -16.5 | 9% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Robert Morris #113 | conf | -4.0 | 38% |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Oakland #159 | conf | -1.8 | 44% |
| Tue Dec 08 | at |  Kansas State #99 | -14.9 | 12% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Loyola Chicago #166 | -10.3 | 21% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  Charleston Southern #276 | +6.3 | 69% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | at |  Northern Kentucky #270 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Sun Jan 03 | vs |  Youngstown State #215 | conf | +0.4 | 51% |
| Wed Jan 06 | at |  Wright State #165 | conf | -6.8 | 29% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Cleveland State #207 | conf | +0.2 | 51% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs | Northern Kentucky #270 | conf | +2.6 | 58% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Purdue Fort Wayne #212 | conf | -5.5 | 33% |
| Wed Jan 20 | at | Youngstown State #215 | conf | -5.2 | 34% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | Robert Morris #113 | conf | -9.3 | 23% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs |  Green Bay #281 | conf | +2.8 | 59% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Detroit Mercy #312 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs |  Northern Illinois #333 | conf | +5.7 | 67% |
| Sun Feb 07 | vs | Purdue Fort Wayne #212 | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | Oakland #159 | conf | -7.0 | 29% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Detroit Mercy #312 | conf | +4.5 | 64% |
| Fri Feb 19 | at |  Milwaukee #242 | conf | -4.3 | 36% |
| Sun Feb 21 | at | Green Bay #281 | conf | -2.4 | 42% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | Wright State #165 | conf | -1.4 | 46% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Northern Illinois #333 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
Projected margin is from IU Indianapolis's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.