Teams › Big 12 · Compare Kansas State with another team
Kansas State
Kansas State returns 22% of last season's minutes and rates #86 on offense and #133 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -2.0 to +12.4.
Why we have them here
Kansas State's preseason projection of +5.2 (No. 99 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +2.8, about the +3.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 134 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.5, about its neighbours' +0.9; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +1.6. It returns 22% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (47%). The projection leans most on JT Rock (+2.4), Brandon Rechsteiner (+1.3) and Jaden Schutt (+1.3); the newcomer who matters most is JT Rock, a transfer from New Mexico, at +2.4. Its 80% range, -2.0 to +12.4, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 22% · Transfer 65% · Freshman 7% · Other newcomer 5%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240 | JT Rock | C | 7-1 | 2 | Transfer | New Mexico | 15 | +6.2 | +2.4 |
| 720 | Jaden Schutt | G | 6-5 | 4 | Transfer | Virginia Tech | 21 | +2.4 | +1.3 |
| 734 | Brandon Rechsteiner | G | 6-1 | 3 | Transfer | Colorado State | 24 | +2.2 | +1.3 |
| 868 | Montana Wheeler | G | 5-10 | 1 | Transfer | Bradley | 19 | +1.9 | +0.9 |
| 1177 | Dezdrick Lindsay | F | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | Oregon | 17 | +0.9 | +0.4 |
| 1260 | Pape N'Diaye | F | 7-0 | 2 | Transfer | Xavier | 11 | +0.9 | +0.3 |
| 1296 | Andrej Kostic | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Kansas State | 12 | +0.8 | +0.2 |
| 1417 | Brock Vice | F | 6-10 | 2 | Transfer | Murray State | 7 | +0.6 | +0.1 |
| 1505 | Isaiah Abraham | F | 6-7 | 2 | Transfer | Georgetown | 16 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 1670 | Marcus Johnson | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Kansas State | 7 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 1782 | Elias Rapieque | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Kansas State | 12 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| 2095 | Jaylen Alexander | G | 6-2 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | -0.7 | -0.1 |
| 2466 | Timo Malovec | F | 1 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.5 | -0.2 | ||
| 2592 | Mobi Ikegwuruka | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Kansas State | 9 | -1.1 | -0.3 |
| 2833 | Devin Hutcherson | G | 6-4 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 7 | -1.5 | -0.3 |
| 2900 | Matt Gilhool | F | 6-11 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.8 | -0.2 | |
| 3280 | Stephen Osei | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Kansas State | 4 | -2.6 | -0.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Nov 03 | vs |  South Dakota State #213 | +11.2 | 82% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | vs |  Cal State Northridge #227 | +12.6 | 84% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | vs |  Creighton #41 | +0.1 | 50% | |
| Mon Nov 16 | vs |  Montana #222 | +11.8 | 83% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | vs |  Campbell #224 | +12.0 | 83% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | N |  Gonzaga #14 | -11.0 | 19% | |
| Fri Dec 04 | at |  Seton Hall #106 | -5.5 | 33% | |
| Tue Dec 08 | vs |  IU Indianapolis #279 | +14.9 | 88% | |
| Fri Dec 11 | N |  Wichita State #62 | -3.4 | 39% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | vs |  Little Rock #320 | +15.8 | 90% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | vs |  Lindenwood #258 | +13.6 | 86% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | vs |  Omaha #274 | +13.4 | 86% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Baylor #37 | conf | -10.7 | 20% |
| Tue Jan 05 | vs |  Houston #8 | conf | -9.2 | 23% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Arizona #3 | conf | -11.4 | 18% |
| Tue Jan 12 | at |  West Virginia #48 | conf | -8.7 | 24% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  TCU #51 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
| Tue Jan 19 | at |  Arizona State #52 | conf | -8.1 | 26% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Kansas #10 | conf | -9.3 | 23% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Iowa State #9 | conf | -16.2 | 10% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs |  Oklahoma State #91 | conf | +1.7 | 55% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs |  Colorado #85 | conf | +0.9 | 53% |
| Wed Feb 10 | at |  Utah #72 | conf | -7.2 | 28% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at |  BYU #23 | conf | -15.0 | 12% |
| Tue Feb 16 | vs | Arizona State #52 | conf | -2.1 | 43% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at |  Cincinnati #42 | conf | -9.8 | 22% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs |  Texas Tech #15 | conf | -7.8 | 26% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Kansas #10 | conf | -17.1 | 9% |
| Wed Mar 03 | at |  UCF #70 | conf | -6.2 | 31% |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | Cincinnati #42 | conf | -3.0 | 40% |
Projected margin is from Kansas State's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.