Teams › Big 12 · Compare BYU with another team
BYU
BYU returns 29% of last season's minutes and rates #13 on offense and #27 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +10.7 to +25.5.
Why we have them here
BYU's preseason projection of +18.1 (No. 23 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +12.4, more than the +9.9 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 25 at the end of 2025-26) adds +3.2, about its neighbours' +3.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +3.3. A stretch at the top of the scale adds +0.9, because a straight-line calibration shrinks elite teams. It returns 29% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (32%). The projection leans most on Jaxon Kohler (+8.1), Robert Wright III (+5.9) and Bruce Branch III (+3.4); the newcomer who matters most is Jaxon Kohler, a transfer from Michigan State, at +8.1. Its 80% range, +10.7 to +25.5, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 27% · Transfer 44% · Freshman 15% · Other newcomer 14%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jaxon Kohler | F | 6-9 | 4 | Transfer | Michigan State | 27 | +11.8 | +8.1 |
| 35 | Robert Wright III | G | 6-1 | 2 | Returning | BYU | 30 | +8.0 | +5.9 |
| 150 | Bruce Branch III | F | 6-7 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 22 | +6.2 | +3.4 |
| 443 | Tyler Betsey | F | 6-8 | 2 | Transfer | Syracuse | 17 | +4.3 | +1.8 |
| 573 | Collin Chandler | G | 6-5 | 2 | Transfer | Kentucky | 23 | +2.9 | +1.7 |
| 655 | Jake Wahlin | F | 6-10 | 3 | Transfer | Clemson | 17 | +3.0 | +1.3 |
| 778 | Jakub Urbaniak | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 13 | +2.8 | +0.9 | |
| 806 | Khadim Mboup | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | BYU | 14 | +2.5 | +0.9 |
| 1201 | Dovydas Buika | G | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | +1.6 | +0.2 | |
| 1549 | Dean Rueckert | F | 6-8 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | +0.2 | +0.0 |
| 1718 | Nate Pickens | F | 6-3 | 4 | Other newcomer | 2 | -0.2 | +0.0 | |
| 1739 | Brooks Bahr | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 2 | -0.3 | +0.0 | |
| 1779 | Adam Stewart | C | 6-11 | 2 | Transfer | TCU | 3 | -0.4 | +0.0 |
| 1828 | Brody Kozlowski | F | 6-8 | 2 | Other newcomer | 2 | -0.5 | +0.0 | |
| 1896 | Mihailo Boškovic | F | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | BYU | 10 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| 1984 | Petar Ostojic | F | 7-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 3 | -0.9 | -0.1 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | N |  Ohio State #27 | +1.6 | 55% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | vs |  Omaha #274 | +24.4 | 98% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | vs |  Queens University #142 | +20.5 | 95% | |
| Thu Nov 12 | vs |  Montana State #138 | +19.5 | 94% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Northern Colorado #128 | +19.7 | 94% | |
| Mon Nov 23 | N |  Washington #92 | +8.2 | 75% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | N |  Northwestern #79 | +7.0 | 71% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | vs |  Utah State #29 | +10.0 | 79% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Cal State Fullerton #236 | +25.2 | 98% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | vs |  Weber State #233 | +24.1 | 97% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | N |  San Diego State #81 | +7.5 | 73% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  La Salle #218 | +22.2 | 96% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Arizona State #52 | conf | +1.4 | 54% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  Cincinnati #42 | conf | +8.7 | 76% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Kansas #10 | conf | +2.5 | 58% |
| Tue Jan 12 | at |  Arizona #3 | conf | -9.0 | 24% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Utah #72 | conf | +11.5 | 82% |
| Wed Jan 20 | at |  Iowa State #9 | conf | -6.6 | 30% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  West Virginia #48 | conf | +8.8 | 76% |
| Wed Jan 27 | at |  TCU #51 | conf | +0.6 | 52% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Houston #8 | conf | -7.7 | 26% |
| Tue Feb 02 | vs |  Baylor #37 | conf | +8.2 | 74% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Utah #72 | conf | +2.1 | 57% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs |  Kansas State #99 | conf | +15.0 | 88% |
| Wed Feb 17 | at |  Colorado #85 | conf | +3.5 | 61% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | TCU #51 | conf | +9.5 | 78% |
| Mon Feb 22 | vs | Arizona #3 | conf | +0.8 | 53% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at |  UCF #70 | conf | +3.3 | 61% |
| Tue Mar 02 | vs |  Oklahoma State #91 | conf | +14.0 | 87% |
| Fri Mar 05 | at |  Texas Tech #15 | conf | -5.0 | 34% |
Projected margin is from BYU's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.