Teams › Big 12 · Compare Oklahoma State with another team
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State returns 21% of last season's minutes and rates #74 on offense and #118 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -0.4 to +14.0.
Why we have them here
Oklahoma State's preseason projection of +6.7 (No. 91 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +5.8, more than the +3.6 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 99 at the end of 2025-26) adds +1.1, about its neighbours' +1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.5. It returns 21% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (41%). The projection leans most on Kashie Natt (+4.0), Julius Halaifonua (+2.7) and Luka Bogavac (+2.2); the newcomer who matters most is Kashie Natt, a transfer from Sam Houston, at +4.0. Its 80% range, -0.4 to +14.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 21% · Transfer 62% · Freshman 18%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | Kashie Natt | G | 6-3 | 4 | Transfer | Sam Houston | 24 | +6.7 | +4.0 |
| 222 | Julius Halaifonua | C | 7-0 | 2 | Transfer | Georgetown | 18 | +5.8 | +2.7 |
| 399 | Luka Bogavac | G | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | North Carolina | 22 | +4.0 | +2.2 |
| 485 | Jordan Burks | F | 6-9 | 3 | Transfer | UCF | 23 | +3.4 | +1.9 |
| 1052 | Anthony Felesi | F | 6-5 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 9 | +1.9 | +0.4 |
| 1093 | Andrija Grbovic | F | 6-11 | 1 | Transfer | Arizona State | 16 | +1.2 | +0.5 |
| 1109 | Latrell Allmond | F | 6-8 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 11 | +1.4 | +0.4 |
| 1244 | Jacob Walker | G | 6-1 | 1 | Transfer | Sam Houston | 20 | +0.7 | +0.4 |
| 1412 | Benjamin Ahmed | C | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Oklahoma State | 10 | +0.5 | +0.1 |
| 1602 | Jalen Montonati | F | 6-7 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 1958 | Ryan Crotty | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Oklahoma State | 9 | -0.5 | -0.1 |
| 2273 | Mekhi Ragland | F | 6-11 | 1 | Returning | Oklahoma State | 6 | -1.0 | -0.1 |
| 2519 | Parker Robinson | G | 6-4 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 6 | -1.3 | -0.2 |
| 3502 | Lefteris Mantzoukas | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Oklahoma State | 11 | -1.7 | -0.5 |
| 3916 | Daniel Guetta | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Oklahoma State | 6 | -2.7 | -0.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Incarnate Word #308 | +16.3 | 90% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | vs |  Queens University #142 | +10.5 | 80% | |
| Thu Nov 12 | at |  Texas A&M #31 | -13.4 | 14% | |
| Mon Nov 16 | vs |  Central Arkansas #181 | +12.1 | 83% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | N |  Minnesota #65 | -2.1 | 43% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | N |  Virginia Tech #45 | -4.5 | 36% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | vs |  Jackson State #355 | +21.5 | 96% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | vs |  Tennessee State #154 | +11.3 | 82% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Grand Canyon #59 | +3.8 | 62% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Saint Mary's #60 | +3.8 | 62% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | N |  Oklahoma #30 | -6.1 | 31% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | vs |  Oral Roberts #323 | +17.8 | 92% | |
| Sun Dec 20 | N |  Northwestern #79 | -0.9 | 47% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | vs |  Houston Christian #273 | +14.6 | 88% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Colorado #85 | conf | +2.5 | 58% |
| Tue Jan 05 | at |  West Virginia #48 | conf | -7.7 | 27% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Iowa State #9 | conf | -15.2 | 11% |
| Tue Jan 12 | vs |  Utah #72 | conf | +1.6 | 55% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Baylor #37 | conf | -9.7 | 22% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  TCU #51 | conf | -0.7 | 48% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs |  Texas Tech #15 | conf | -6.4 | 30% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Kansas #10 | conf | -16.1 | 10% |
| Wed Feb 03 | at |  Kansas State #99 | conf | -1.7 | 45% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs |  Cincinnati #42 | conf | -1.5 | 45% |
| Wed Feb 10 | vs | Iowa State #9 | conf | -7.9 | 26% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | TCU #51 | conf | -7.8 | 27% |
| Tue Feb 16 | vs |  Arizona #3 | conf | -9.9 | 22% |
| Sun Feb 21 | at |  Houston #8 | conf | -16.0 | 10% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs |  UCF #70 | conf | +1.5 | 55% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Utah #72 | conf | -6.1 | 31% |
| Tue Mar 02 | at |  BYU #23 | conf | -14.0 | 13% |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs |  Arizona State #52 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
Projected margin is from Oklahoma State's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.