Teams › Mountain West · Compare Grand Canyon with another team
Grand Canyon
Grand Canyon returns 26% of last season's minutes and rates #68 on offense and #62 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +3.0 to +17.6.
Why we have them here
Grand Canyon's preseason projection of +10.3 (No. 59 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +5.7, less than the +6.5 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 70 at the end of 2025-26) adds +1.3, about its neighbours' +1.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +2.7. It returns 26% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (38%). The projection leans most on Dylan Darling (+3.8), Makaih Williams (+2.5) and Blake Barkley (+1.7); the newcomer who matters most is Dylan Darling, a transfer from St. John's, at +3.8. Its 80% range, +3.0 to +17.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 22% · Transfer 74% · Other newcomer 5%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | Dylan Darling | G | 6-1 | 4 | Transfer | St. John's | 19 | +7.9 | +3.8 |
| 336 | Makaih Williams | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | Grand Canyon | 23 | +4.3 | +2.5 |
| 541 | Blake Barkley | F | 6-8 | 2 | Transfer | East Tennessee State | 21 | +3.2 | +1.7 |
| 563 | Tre Holloman | G | 6-2 | 4 | Transfer | NC State | 19 | +3.2 | +1.5 |
| 723 | Dan Skillings Jr. | G | 6-6 | 4 | Transfer | Baylor | 18 | +2.6 | +1.2 |
| 939 | Omaha Biliew | F | 6-8 | 3 | Transfer | Wake Forest | 17 | +1.8 | +0.8 |
| 977 | Efe Demirel | C | 7-1 | 1 | Returning | Grand Canyon | 17 | +1.7 | +0.7 |
| 1427 | Amarion Dickerson | G | 6-7 | 2 | Transfer | USC | 12 | +0.4 | +0.1 |
| 1700 | Micah Tucker | G | 6-3 | 1 | Transfer | Georgia State | 21 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
| 1993 | Luke Shaw | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 3 | -0.9 | -0.1 | |
| 2012 | Cole Pepe | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Grand Canyon | 3 | -0.9 | -0.1 |
| 2128 | Braylon Johnson | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 3 | -1.1 | -0.1 | |
| 2171 | Jack Sawyer | F | 6-8 | 2 | Other newcomer | 3 | -1.2 | -0.1 | |
| 3744 | Jaden Zimmerman | G | 6-5 | 2 | Transfer | Quinnipiac | 20 | -1.4 | -0.7 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Texas Southern #331 | +19.8 | 94% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | vs |  Bethune-Cookman #220 | +15.2 | 89% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | vs |  Cal Poly #223 | +16.1 | 90% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  UL Monroe #359 | +23.7 | 97% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  Saint Louis #56 | -0.6 | 48% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | vs |  Incarnate Word #308 | +17.7 | 93% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  Oklahoma State #91 | -3.8 | 38% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Santa Clara #63 | +6.5 | 70% | |
| Tue Dec 08 | vs |  Northwestern State #277 | +16.2 | 91% | |
| Fri Dec 11 | at |  Memphis #100 | -2.7 | 41% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | N |  Florida #1 | -14.7 | 12% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  UMBC #180 | +13.4 | 86% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  UC Davis #255 | conf | +8.6 | 76% |
| Tue Jan 05 | vs |  UNLV #139 | conf | +9.3 | 77% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Wyoming #121 | conf | +8.0 | 74% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  San José State #187 | conf | +5.4 | 67% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Nevada #66 | conf | -2.6 | 42% |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs |  Hawai'i #179 | conf | +10.8 | 81% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  New Mexico #50 | conf | -4.3 | 36% |
| Tue Jan 26 | vs |  Air Force #357 | conf | +19.0 | 94% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | Wyoming #121 | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | New Mexico #50 | conf | +1.7 | 55% |
| Tue Feb 09 | at |  UTEP #237 | conf | +7.4 | 73% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Nevada #66 | conf | +3.5 | 61% |
| Tue Feb 16 | at | Air Force #357 | conf | +14.9 | 89% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | UNLV #139 | conf | +3.5 | 61% |
| Tue Feb 23 | vs | UTEP #237 | conf | +12.3 | 84% |
| Fri Feb 26 | vs | San José State #187 | conf | +10.4 | 80% |
| Tue Mar 02 | at | Hawai'i #179 | conf | +5.2 | 66% |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | UC Davis #255 | conf | +13.2 | 86% |
Projected margin is from Grand Canyon's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.