Teams › Mountain West · Compare New Mexico with another team
New Mexico
New Mexico returns 38% of last season's minutes and rates #43 on offense and #56 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +4.5 to +19.6.
Why we have them here
New Mexico's preseason projection of +12.1 (No. 50 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +6.6, about the +7.2 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 48 at the end of 2025-26) adds +2.2, about its neighbours' +1.7; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +2.8. A stretch at the top of the scale adds +0.4, because a straight-line calibration shrinks elite teams. It returns 38% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (32%). The projection leans most on Uriah Tenette (+4.1), Jake Hall (+3.8) and Hudson Mayes (+2.3); the newcomer who matters most is Hudson Mayes, a transfer from UC San Diego, at +2.3. Its 80% range, +4.5 to +19.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 37% · Transfer 31% · Other newcomer 29%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | Uriah Tenette | G | 5-11 | 1 | Returning | New Mexico | 26 | +6.1 | +4.1 |
| 166 | Jake Hall | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | New Mexico | 29 | +5.1 | +3.8 |
| 390 | Hudson Mayes | G | 6-5 | 1 | Transfer | UC San Diego | 23 | +3.9 | +2.3 |
| 526 | Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi | F | 6-8 | 3 | Transfer | William & Mary | 24 | +3.1 | +1.8 |
| 595 | Federico Grani | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 20 | +3.0 | +1.5 | |
| 1306 | Chris Howell | G | 6-6 | 4 | Returning | New Mexico | 19 | +0.6 | +0.3 |
| 1473 | Rytis Petraitis | F | 6-7 | 4 | Transfer | California | 15 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| 2063 | Dax Hall | G | 6-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -0.7 | -0.1 | |
| 2100 | Nate Muriithi | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -0.8 | -0.1 | |
| 2207 | Imran Suljanovic | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -0.9 | -0.1 | |
| 2270 | AJ Pierre-Jerome | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.0 | -0.2 | |
| 2270 | Benjamin Schuch | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.0 | -0.2 | |
| 2322 | Fynn Lastring | F | 6-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.0 | -0.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Utah Tech #275 | +18.5 | 93% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | vs |  Northern Arizona #307 | +18.9 | 94% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | vs |  Little Rock #320 | +20.4 | 95% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Santa Clara #63 | -4.6 | 36% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | at |  Wichita State #62 | -4.1 | 37% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | vs |  Mississippi Valley State #365 | +33.0 | >99% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | vs |  Utah State #29 | +3.7 | 62% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  New Mexico State #137 | +13.5 | 86% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Saint Mary's #60 | +7.2 | 72% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | vs |  Mercer #231 | +17.4 | 92% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | at |  UC Irvine #105 | +0.0 | 50% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | N |  Oregon State #93 | +3.9 | 62% | |
| Wed Dec 23 | N |  Boise State #87 | +3.5 | 61% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  UTEP #237 | conf | +8.8 | 76% |
| Tue Jan 05 | vs |  Nevada #66 | conf | +4.8 | 65% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  UC Davis #255 | conf | +14.8 | 88% |
| Tue Jan 12 | at |  UNLV #139 | conf | +4.9 | 65% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Air Force #357 | conf | +16.5 | 91% |
| Tue Jan 19 | vs |  San José State #187 | conf | +11.8 | 83% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Grand Canyon #59 | conf | +4.3 | 64% |
| Tue Jan 26 | at |  Hawai'i #179 | conf | +6.7 | 70% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | Air Force #357 | conf | +20.7 | 95% |
| Tue Feb 02 | at | San José State #187 | conf | +6.8 | 71% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Grand Canyon #59 | conf | -1.7 | 45% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | UNLV #139 | conf | +10.8 | 81% |
| Tue Feb 16 | at |  Wyoming #121 | conf | +3.6 | 61% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | UTEP #237 | conf | +13.8 | 87% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | Hawai'i #179 | conf | +12.3 | 84% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | UC Davis #255 | conf | +10.1 | 79% |
| Tue Mar 02 | vs | Wyoming #121 | conf | +9.4 | 78% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | Nevada #66 | conf | -1.3 | 46% |
Projected margin is from New Mexico's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.