Teams › Mountain West · Compare Nevada with another team
Nevada
Nevada returns 59% of last season's minutes and rates #83 on offense and #47 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +2.2 to +16.8.
Why we have them here
Nevada's preseason projection of +9.5 (No. 66 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +6.2, about the +5.5 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 77 at the end of 2025-26) adds +1.3, about its neighbours' +1.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +1.4. It returns 59% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (32%). The projection leans most on Elijah Price (+4.9), Corey Camper Jr. (+3.4) and Styles Phipps (+2.3); the newcomer who matters most is Styles Phipps, a transfer from Pepperdine, at +2.3. Its 80% range, +2.2 to +16.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 59% · Transfer 31% · Freshman 10%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | Elijah Price | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Nevada | 27 | +7.2 | +4.9 |
| 194 | Corey Camper Jr. | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Nevada | 26 | +5.1 | +3.4 |
| 436 | Styles Phipps | G | 6-2 | 2 | Transfer | Pepperdine | 27 | +3.4 | +2.3 |
| 464 | Vaughn Weems | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Nevada | 23 | +3.5 | +2.0 |
| 1208 | Joel Armotrading | C | 6-10 | 3 | Returning | Nevada | 13 | +1.0 | +0.3 |
| 1415 | Keyon Kensie Jr. | G | 6-8 | 3 | Transfer | Portland State | 22 | +0.3 | +0.2 |
| 1431 | Cedric Lath | C | 6-10 | 3 | Transfer | Houston | 5 | +0.6 | +0.1 |
| 1451 | Myles Walker | G | 5-10 | 1 | Returning | Nevada | 8 | +0.4 | +0.1 |
| 1774 | Simon Majok | C | 7-1 | 1 | Transfer | Memphis | 8 | -0.2 | +0.0 |
| 1826 | SJ Madison | F | 6-5 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 6 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| 2392 | Christopher Baudreau | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Nevada | 4 | -1.5 | -0.1 |
| 2485 | Ethan Croley | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Nevada | 5 | -1.3 | -0.2 |
| 2662 | John Mattingly | G | 6-0 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 7 | -1.3 | -0.2 |
| 2944 | Hudson Lucas | F | 6-8 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 6 | -1.7 | -0.3 |
| 3143 | Peyton White | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Nevada | 11 | -1.4 | -0.4 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Robert Morris #113 | +9.9 | 79% | |
| Sun Nov 08 | N |  Saint Mary's #60 | -0.5 | 48% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Utah Valley #112 | +10.3 | 80% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Idaho #251 | +15.3 | 89% | |
| Mon Nov 23 | N |  San Francisco #189 | +7.0 | 72% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  Santa Clara #63 | -0.3 | 49% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Pacific #175 | +12.4 | 85% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | vs |  Loyola Marymount #170 | +12.9 | 85% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Sam Houston #185 | +13.5 | 86% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | N |  Colorado State #67 | +0.0 | 50% | |
| Sun Dec 20 | N |  Loyola Chicago #166 | +6.3 | 70% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | vs |  South Dakota State #213 | +13.9 | 87% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Wyoming #121 | conf | +1.7 | 55% |
| Tue Jan 05 | at |  New Mexico #50 | conf | -4.8 | 35% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Hawai'i #179 | conf | +10.3 | 80% |
| Tue Jan 12 | at |  UTEP #237 | conf | +6.8 | 71% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Grand Canyon #59 | conf | +2.6 | 58% |
| Tue Jan 19 | vs |  Air Force #357 | conf | +18.4 | 93% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  San José State #187 | conf | +4.8 | 65% |
| Tue Jan 26 | vs | UTEP #237 | conf | +11.8 | 83% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  UNLV #139 | conf | +2.8 | 59% |
| Tue Feb 02 | at |  UC Davis #255 | conf | +7.9 | 74% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | Wyoming #121 | conf | +7.5 | 73% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Grand Canyon #59 | conf | -3.5 | 39% |
| Tue Feb 16 | vs | UC Davis #255 | conf | +12.7 | 85% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Hawai'i #179 | conf | +4.6 | 64% |
| Tue Feb 23 | vs | San José State #187 | conf | +9.9 | 79% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | UNLV #139 | conf | +8.8 | 76% |
| Tue Mar 02 | at | Air Force #357 | conf | +14.2 | 88% |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | New Mexico #50 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
Projected margin is from Nevada's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.