Teams › Big West · Compare Utah Valley with another team
Utah Valley
Utah Valley returns 75% of last season's minutes and rates #148 on offense and #93 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -3.7 to +11.0.
Why we have them here
Utah Valley's preseason projection of +3.7 (No. 112 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +2.0, about the +2.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 63 at the end of 2025-26) adds +1.7, more than its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.4. It returns 75% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (59%). The projection leans most on Isaac Davis (+3.3), Isaac Hawkins (+2.6) and Dominick Nelson (+0.4); the newcomer who matters most is Dominick Nelson, a transfer from Iowa State, at +0.4. Its 80% range, -3.7 to +11.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 67% · Transfer 7% · Other newcomer 8%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 181 | Isaac Davis | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Utah Valley | 25 | +5.3 | +3.3 |
| 311 | Isaac Hawkins | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Utah Valley | 23 | +4.4 | +2.6 |
| 1184 | Dominick Nelson | G | 6-5 | 2 | Transfer | Iowa State | 15 | +1.0 | +0.4 |
| 1289 | Tyler Medaris | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Utah Valley | 13 | +0.8 | +0.3 |
| 1403 | Tyler Weaver | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Utah Valley | 15 | +0.4 | +0.2 |
| 1979 | AJ Riggs | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Utah Valley | 13 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| 2157 | Jaxson Roberts | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -0.7 | -0.1 | |
| 2333 | AJ Dixon | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -0.9 | -0.2 | |
| 3106 | Braden Housley | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Utah Valley | 25 | -0.9 | -0.6 |
| 4141 | Sherman Weatherspoon IV | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Utah Valley | 19 | -1.7 | -0.8 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 07 | at |  Weber State #233 | -1.6 | 45% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Nevada #66 | -10.3 | 20% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | N |  East Carolina #182 | +3.1 | 60% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  San José State #187 | +9.5 | 78% | |
| Thu Dec 03 | at |  Long Beach State #278 | conf | +4.6 | 64% |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Sacramento State #199 | conf | +7.6 | 73% |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Pacific #175 | -1.8 | 44% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | at |  Boise State #87 | -9.1 | 23% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | vs |  Cal State Bakersfield #328 | conf | +12.4 | 84% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Cal State Northridge #227 | conf | +8.5 | 75% |
| Thu Jan 07 | at |  UC San Diego #77 | conf | -5.0 | 34% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  UC Irvine #105 | conf | -2.8 | 41% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  UC Santa Barbara #103 | conf | +2.9 | 59% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Cal Poly #223 | conf | +8.5 | 75% |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs |  California Baptist #157 | conf | +5.5 | 67% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  UC Riverside #252 | conf | +8.8 | 76% |
| Thu Jan 28 | at | Cal State Northridge #227 | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | Cal State Bakersfield #328 | conf | +5.1 | 66% |
| Thu Feb 04 | at | UC Riverside #252 | conf | +2.6 | 58% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | California Baptist #157 | conf | -0.3 | 49% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | UC Irvine #105 | conf | +3.1 | 60% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | UC San Diego #77 | conf | +0.4 | 51% |
| Thu Feb 18 | at |  Cal State Fullerton #236 | conf | +3.1 | 60% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Sacramento State #199 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | Long Beach State #278 | conf | +9.9 | 79% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Cal State Fullerton #236 | conf | +9.1 | 77% |
| Thu Mar 04 | at | Cal Poly #223 | conf | +2.4 | 57% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | UC Santa Barbara #103 | conf | -2.9 | 41% |
Projected margin is from Utah Valley's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.