Teams › Big West · Compare UC Riverside with another team
UC Riverside
UC Riverside returns 85% of last season's minutes and rates #218 on offense and #271 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -11.2 to +3.5.
Why we have them here
UC Riverside's preseason projection of -3.9 (No. 252 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.7, about the -2.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 298 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.5, about its neighbours' -0.8; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.0. It returns 85% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (65%). The projection leans most on Andrew Henderson (+2.6), De'Undrae Perteete Jr. (+0.3) and Tony Duckett (+0.3); the newcomer who matters most is Tony Duckett, a transfer from Saint Mary's, at +0.3. Its 80% range, -11.2 to +3.5, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 70% · Transfer 10% · Other newcomer 15%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 365 | Andrew Henderson | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | UC Riverside | 29 | +3.7 | +2.6 |
| 1235 | Tony Duckett | G | 6-4 | 2 | Transfer | Saint Mary's | 13 | +0.9 | +0.3 |
| 1281 | De'Undrae Perteete Jr. | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | UC Riverside | 24 | +0.6 | +0.3 |
| 2077 | Abraham Oyeadier | C | 6-9 | 1 | Transfer | West Virginia | 7 | -0.7 | -0.1 |
| 2920 | Tyler Jones | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | UC Riverside | 15 | -1.1 | -0.4 |
| 3680 | Gavin Haase | F | 6-0 | 0 | Other newcomer | 10 | -2.0 | -0.5 | |
| 3943 | Parker Strauss | F | 6-4 | 2 | Other newcomer | 10 | -2.2 | -0.5 | |
| 4051 | BJ Kolly | F | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | UC Riverside | 21 | -1.6 | -0.8 |
| 4077 | Amaury McKinney | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 10 | -2.3 | -0.6 | |
| 4144 | Jailen Daniel-Dalton | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | UC Riverside | 21 | -1.7 | -0.9 |
| 4198 | Denzel Hines | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | UC Riverside | 10 | -2.4 | -0.6 |
| 4291 | Ben Waller | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | UC Riverside | 14 | -2.2 | -0.8 |
| 4588 | EJ Spillman | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | UC Riverside | 7 | -3.9 | -0.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 07 | vs |  Denver #240 | +5.5 | 67% | |
| Thu Nov 12 | at |  San José State #187 | -7.1 | 28% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Fresno State #221 | -6.5 | 30% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  San Diego #263 | -4.6 | 36% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | vs |  Portland State #186 | +3.7 | 62% | |
| Thu Dec 03 | at |  UC Irvine #105 | conf | -8.1 | 26% |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  California Baptist #157 | conf | -0.5 | 48% |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  California #115 | -10.8 | 19% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | vs |  Utah Tech #275 | +6.7 | 71% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  UCLA #28 | -19.9 | 5% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | vs |  Cal Poly #223 | conf | +1.9 | 56% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  UC Santa Barbara #103 | conf | -3.1 | 40% |
| Thu Jan 07 | at |  Cal State Bakersfield #328 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Cal State Northridge #227 | conf | -3.3 | 40% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  UC San Diego #77 | conf | -5.6 | 32% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs | UC Irvine #105 | conf | -3.1 | 40% |
| Thu Jan 21 | at |  Sacramento State #199 | conf | -4.2 | 37% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Utah Valley #112 | conf | -8.8 | 24% |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs |  Cal State Fullerton #236 | conf | +2.5 | 58% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  Long Beach State #278 | conf | +3.7 | 62% |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs | Utah Valley #112 | conf | -2.6 | 42% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | Sacramento State #199 | conf | +1.2 | 54% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | UC Santa Barbara #103 | conf | -8.0 | 26% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Cal Poly #223 | conf | -3.3 | 40% |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | UC San Diego #77 | conf | -10.2 | 20% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | California Baptist #157 | conf | -5.4 | 33% |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | Cal State Northridge #227 | conf | +2.0 | 56% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Cal State Bakersfield #328 | conf | +6.1 | 69% |
| Thu Mar 04 | at | Long Beach State #278 | conf | -0.8 | 47% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | Cal State Fullerton #236 | conf | -2.5 | 42% |
Projected margin is from UC Riverside's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.