Teams › WCC · Compare San Francisco with another team
San Francisco
San Francisco returns 17% of last season's minutes and rates #214 on offense and #166 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -8.4 to +6.4.
Why we have them here
San Francisco's preseason projection of -1.0 (No. 189 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.9, less than the -1.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 163 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.2, about its neighbours' -0.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.4. It returns 17% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (67%). The projection leans most on Ben Oosterbaan (+0.6), Ismaila Diagne (+0.5) and Veniamin Abosi (+0.0); the newcomer who matters most is Ben Oosterbaan, a transfer from St. Thomas-Minnesota, at +0.6. Its 80% range, -8.4 to +6.4, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 17% · Transfer 28% · Freshman 18%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1072 | Ismaila Diagne | C | 7-0 | 2 | Transfer | Gonzaga | 16 | +1.4 | +0.5 |
| 1113 | Ben Oosterbaan | F | 6-6 | 2 | Transfer | St. Thomas-Minnesota | 26 | +0.9 | +0.6 |
| 1588 | Jaroslavs Pihtovs | C | 6-9 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 9 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 1612 | Veniamin Abosi | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | San Francisco | 22 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 2304 | Mason Magee | G | 6-0 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 14 | -0.7 | -0.2 |
| 3459 | Andrew Hilman | G | 6-4 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 14 | -1.4 | -0.5 |
| 3485 | Abdul Bashir | G | 6-7 | 1 | Transfer | Auburn | 15 | -1.4 | -0.5 |
| 4071 | Weilun Zhao | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | San Francisco | 12 | -2.1 | -0.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Radford #241 | +7.3 | 72% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | vs |  North Dakota State #225 | +6.4 | 70% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | vs |  Montana #222 | +6.3 | 70% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Portland State #186 | +5.2 | 66% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Louisiana #294 | +8.5 | 76% | |
| Mon Nov 23 | N |  Nevada #66 | -7.0 | 28% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  Oregon State #93 | -5.0 | 34% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  Bethune-Cookman #220 | +6.3 | 69% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  UNLV #139 | +3.6 | 61% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  South Dakota #322 | +10.7 | 81% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Fresno State #221 | -4.4 | 36% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | at |  Texas State #183 | -6.1 | 31% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | N |  George Washington #119 | -2.8 | 41% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | N |  Tulsa #82 | -6.1 | 31% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | vs |  Yale #95 | +0.4 | 51% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Denver #240 | conf | +3.9 | 62% |
| Thu Jan 07 | at |  Santa Clara #63 | conf | -10.4 | 20% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  Seattle U #111 | conf | -6.1 | 31% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Portland #339 | conf | +3.4 | 61% |
| Tue Jan 19 | vs |  Loyola Marymount #170 | conf | +1.7 | 55% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Pepperdine #249 | conf | +4.1 | 63% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs |  Saint Mary's #60 | conf | -5.2 | 33% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  San Diego #263 | conf | +0.6 | 52% |
| Wed Feb 03 | at | Denver #240 | conf | +0.2 | 51% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs |  Pacific #175 | conf | +1.7 | 56% |
| Tue Feb 09 | at | Saint Mary's #60 | conf | -10.6 | 19% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Portland #339 | conf | +8.2 | 75% |
| Wed Feb 17 | at | Loyola Marymount #170 | conf | -3.3 | 40% |
| Sun Feb 21 | at | Pacific #175 | conf | -1.8 | 44% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | Santa Clara #63 | conf | -5.3 | 34% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Seattle U #111 | conf | -1.0 | 47% |
Projected margin is from San Francisco's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.