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George Washington
George Washington returns 23% of last season's minutes and rates #113 on offense and #156 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -4.3 to +10.4.
Why we have them here
George Washington's preseason projection of +3.1 (No. 119 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +0.7, less than the +1.7 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 66 at the end of 2025-26) adds +1.8, more than its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.2. It returns 23% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (61%). The projection leans most on Jean Aranguren (+3.1), Terrance Arceneaux (+1.0) and Ryder Frost (+0.5); the newcomer who matters most is Terrance Arceneaux, a transfer from NC State, at +1.0. Its 80% range, -4.3 to +10.4, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 20% · Transfer 70% · Other newcomer 3%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221 | Jean Aranguren | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | George Washington | 24 | +5.1 | +3.1 |
| 837 | Terrance Arceneaux | G | 6-6 | 4 | Transfer | NC State | 19 | +2.1 | +1.0 |
| 1025 | Ryder Frost | F | 6-7 | 1 | Transfer | Notre Dame | 11 | +1.8 | +0.5 |
| 1220 | Andrija Vukovic | F | 6-11 | 2 | Transfer | Oklahoma State | 17 | +0.8 | +0.4 |
| 2183 | Dylan James | F | 6-9 | 3 | Transfer | Georgia | 16 | -0.5 | -0.2 |
| 2213 | Jalen Rougier-Roane | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -0.9 | -0.1 | |
| 2233 | Amir Arrington | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | George Washington | 8 | -0.8 | -0.2 |
| 2534 | Felix Kossaras | G | 6-6 | 2 | Transfer | Colorado | 16 | -0.8 | -0.3 |
| 2562 | Andrew Phillips | G | 6-4 | 3 | Transfer | Lafayette | 26 | -0.7 | -0.4 |
| 2749 | Mohamed Binzagr | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | George Washington | 7 | -1.4 | -0.3 |
| 3784 | Omari Witherspoon | G | 6-4 | 1 | Transfer | Pittsburgh | 23 | -1.3 | -0.8 |
| 4437 | Malachi Arrington | C | 6-11 | 2 | Transfer | NJIT | 13 | -2.5 | -0.8 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Navy #174 | +8.5 | 75% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | vs |  Hampton #288 | +12.4 | 84% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | vs |  Elon #198 | +9.6 | 78% | |
| Fri Nov 13 | vs |  Harvard #123 | +6.1 | 69% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | N |  UAB #158 | +1.8 | 56% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | N |  Western Kentucky #160 | +1.8 | 56% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | vs |  UMBC #180 | +8.8 | 76% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | vs |  SE Louisiana #286 | +12.3 | 84% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Long Island University #210 | +9.9 | 79% | |
| Wed Dec 09 | vs |  American University #188 | +9.0 | 77% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Boston College #114 | -6.0 | 31% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | N |  San Francisco #189 | +2.8 | 59% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | N |  Utah State #29 | -8.8 | 24% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | at |  Loyola Chicago #166 | conf | -0.7 | 48% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Saint Joseph's #129 | conf | +3.5 | 61% |
| Wed Jan 06 | at |  La Salle #218 | conf | +0.7 | 52% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  VCU #44 | conf | -4.0 | 37% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  Rhode Island #148 | conf | -2.0 | 43% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  George Mason #107 | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  St. Bonaventure #126 | conf | -1.9 | 44% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs |  Richmond #136 | conf | +4.0 | 63% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Fordham #125 | conf | -1.5 | 45% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs |  Duquesne #156 | conf | +4.9 | 65% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | George Mason #107 | conf | -4.0 | 37% |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | Richmond #136 | conf | -1.8 | 44% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | La Salle #218 | conf | +6.7 | 71% |
| Tue Feb 16 | vs |  Dayton #74 | conf | -0.9 | 47% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at |  Davidson #132 | conf | -1.8 | 44% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs |  Saint Louis #56 | conf | -2.6 | 42% |
| Tue Mar 02 | at | Dayton #74 | conf | -7.2 | 28% |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | Loyola Chicago #166 | conf | +5.1 | 66% |
Projected margin is from George Washington's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.