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Temple
Temple returns 35% of last season's minutes and rates #145 on offense and #180 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -6.4 to +8.3.
Why we have them here
Temple's preseason projection of +1.0 (No. 149 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +1.0, about the +0.8 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 182 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.1, about its neighbours' +0.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.4. It returns 35% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (51%). The projection leans most on Gavin Griffiths (+2.9), Jordan Marsh (+2.1) and Edwin Suarez Jr. (+0.4); the newcomer who matters most is Jordan Marsh, a transfer from USC, at +2.1. Its 80% range, -6.4 to +8.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 30% · Transfer 55% · Freshman 4% · Other newcomer 11%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 313 | Gavin Griffiths | G | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Temple | 29 | +4.0 | +2.9 |
| 400 | Jordan Marsh | G | 5-11 | 3 | Transfer | USC | 19 | +4.2 | +2.1 |
| 1237 | Masiah Gilyard | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Temple | 18 | +0.8 | +0.3 |
| 1238 | Edwin Suarez Jr. | F | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | Weber State | 20 | +0.7 | +0.4 |
| 1384 | Dez White | G | 6-2 | 3 | Transfer | Oregon State | 25 | +0.3 | +0.2 |
| 2374 | Cam Wallace | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Temple | 8 | -1.0 | -0.2 |
| 2514 | Olin Chamberlain Jr. | F | 6-0 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.4 | -0.2 | |
| 2524 | Jason Drake | F | 6-1 | 4 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.4 | -0.2 | |
| 2602 | CJ Hines | F | 6-2 | 3 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 | |
| 2808 | Connor Gal | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Temple | 5 | -1.7 | -0.2 |
| 2815 | Derrick Morton-Rivera | G | 6-3 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | -1.4 | -0.3 |
| 2923 | Cam Scott | F | 6-6 | 2 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.7 | -0.3 | |
| 3781 | Baboucarr Njie | F | 6-6 | 2 | Transfer | UTSA | 23 | -1.3 | -0.8 |
| 3940 | Sir Issac Herron | F | 6-10 | 5 | Transfer | Louisiana Tech | 11 | -2.0 | -0.6 |
| 4776 | Christian Beam | C | 7-1 | 1 | Transfer | Georgia State | 12 | -3.3 | -1.0 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs | +10.6 | 81% | ||
| Sun Nov 08 | N | -0.5 | 48% | ||
| Wed Nov 11 | vs | +4.7 | 65% | ||
| Sun Nov 15 | at | -3.6 | 38% | ||
| Fri Nov 20 | N | -1.1 | 46% | ||
| Tue Dec 01 | vs | -5.9 | 31% | ||
| Sat Dec 12 | N | -1.1 | 46% | ||
| Wed Dec 16 | vs | +10.0 | 79% | ||
| Sat Dec 19 | vs | +5.5 | 67% | ||
| Tue Dec 22 | at | -4.5 | 35% | ||
| Wed Dec 30 | at | conf | +1.7 | 56% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs | conf | +6.6 | 71% | |
| Tue Jan 05 | vs | conf | +2.3 | 57% | |
| Sun Jan 10 | at | conf | -3.0 | 40% | |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs | conf | -2.7 | 41% | |
| Sun Jan 17 | vs | conf | +5.6 | 68% | |
| Wed Jan 20 | at | conf | +0.5 | 52% | |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs | conf | -2.6 | 42% | |
| Sun Jan 31 | at | conf | -1.6 | 45% | |
| Thu Feb 04 | at | conf | -2.7 | 41% | |
| Sun Feb 07 | vs | conf | +3.2 | 60% | |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | conf | -4.4 | 36% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | conf | -7.8 | 27% | |
| Sun Feb 21 | vs | conf | -3.9 | 37% | |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | conf | +5.2 | 66% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | conf | -0.9 | 47% | |
| Thu Mar 04 | vs | conf | -0.8 | 47% | |
| Sun Mar 07 | at | conf | +2.9 | 59% |
Projected margin is from Temple's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.