Roster Math

Teams › Ivy · Compare Princeton with another team

Princeton

Princeton returns 94% of last season's minutes and rates #149 on offense and #214 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -7.0 to +7.5.

+0.2
Rating · #164 of 365
+0.8
Offense · #149
-0.7
Defense · #214
-7.0 to +7.5
80% range
<1%
Chance of top 25
0%
Chance of No. 1
13-14
Projected record · 8 to 18 wins
7-7
Projected in Ivy · 4 to 10 wins

Why we have them here

Princeton's preseason projection of +0.2 (No. 164 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -0.4, about the -0.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 255 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.8, less than its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +1.1. It returns 94% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (61%). The projection leans most on Jack Stanton (+2.2), Jackson Hicke (+1.7) and Landon Clark (+0.0); the newcomer who matters most is Christopher Kirkpatrick, a freshman, recruit No. 285, at -0.3. Its 80% range, -7.0 to +7.5, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.

Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.

Roster

Returning 94% · Freshman 6%

Jack Stanton+2.2
Jackson Hicke+1.7
Landon Clark+0.0
Peyton Seals-0.2
Jake Sussberg-0.2
Zio Kim-0.2
Will Kutzler-0.2
Lucas Denault-0.2
Ryan Mandes-0.2
Malik Abdullahi-0.2
Cooper Mueller-0.2
Dalen Davis-0.2
Christopher Kirkpatrick-0.3
Louis O'Keefe-0.3
Cash McSweeney-0.3
Jacob Huggins-0.4
CJ Happy-0.4
Jacob Hammond-0.5
Sebastian Whitfield-0.8
RankPlayerPosHtD1 yrsGroupFromMPGRatingContrib.
431Jack StantonG6-22ReturningPrinceton24+3.6+2.2
629Jackson HickeG6-53ReturningPrinceton28+2.5+1.7
1607Landon ClarkG6-81ReturningPrinceton22+0.1+0.0
2042Malik AbdullahiF6-72ReturningPrinceton20-0.4-0.2
2135Dalen DavisG6-03ReturningPrinceton19-0.5-0.2
2282Peyton SealsG6-42ReturningPrinceton7-0.9-0.2
2387Jake SussbergG6-51ReturningPrinceton6-1.1-0.2
2659Jacob HugginsF6-83ReturningPrinceton17-0.8-0.4
2893Zio KimG6-42ReturningPrinceton3-2.4-0.2
2913Will KutzlerF6-71ReturningPrinceton3-2.4-0.2
2952Christopher KirkpatrickG6-30FreshmanHigh school6-1.8-0.3
2975Ryan MandesG6-31ReturningPrinceton3-2.6-0.2
2993CJ HappyF6-92ReturningPrinceton13-1.2-0.4
2993Cooper MuellerG6-32ReturningPrinceton3-2.5-0.2
3022Lucas DenaultG1ReturningPrinceton3-2.7-0.2
3173Louis O'KeefeG6-30FreshmanHigh school5-2.1-0.3
3741Cash McSweeneyF6-81ReturningPrinceton5-2.9-0.3
4263Jacob HammondF6-61ReturningPrinceton5-3.6-0.5
4814Sebastian WhitfieldF6-61ReturningPrinceton8-4.1-0.8

A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.

Schedule

DateOpponentProj. marginWin prob.
Thu Nov 05vsHofstra #124+3.461%
Sun Nov 08atSiena #208-3.439%
Wed Nov 11vsStony Brook #283+9.177%
Sun Nov 15atRhode Island #148-6.729%
Fri Nov 20vsMonmouth #216+6.971%
Wed Nov 25NLiberty #150-0.548%
Fri Nov 27atUNC Wilmington #101-8.026%
Sat Nov 28NSt. Thomas-Minnesota #130-1.545%
Thu Dec 03atVermont #202-4.037%
Sun Dec 06atNortheastern #296-0.249%
Sat Dec 12atLong Island University #210-4.336%
Tue Dec 22vsTemple #149+4.565%
Tue Dec 29atSaint Mary's #60-12.415%
Mon Jan 04vsPennsylvania #144conf+1.655%
Sat Jan 09atYale #95conf-6.530%
Sat Jan 16vsDartmouth #290conf+6.771%
Mon Jan 18vsHarvard #123conf+0.552%
Sat Jan 23atBrown #184conf-1.246%
Fri Jan 29vsColumbia #169conf+2.558%
Sat Jan 30vsCornell #109conf-0.249%
Sat Feb 06atPennsylvania #144conf-3.040%
Fri Feb 12atColumbia #169conf-2.143%
Sat Feb 13atCornell #109conf-4.436%
Fri Feb 19vsBrown #184conf+2.959%
Fri Feb 26atDartmouth #290conf+1.856%
Sat Feb 27atHarvard #123conf-2.841%
Sat Mar 06vsYale #95conf-1.645%

Projected margin is from Princeton's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.