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Cornell
Cornell returns 100% of last season's minutes and rates #84 on offense and #205 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -3.4 to +11.4.
Why we have them here
Cornell's preseason projection of +3.9 (No. 109 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.5, less than the +2.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 104 at the end of 2025-26) adds +1.4, more than its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +3.8. It returns 100% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (64%). The projection leans most on Mateen Rafiq (+1.1), Ian Imegwu (+1.0) and Kaspar Sepp (+0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Elijah Griffin, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.2. Its 80% range, -3.4 to +11.4, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 88% · Other newcomer 12%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 711 | Ian Imegwu | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Cornell | 13 | +3.1 | +1.0 |
| 729 | Mateen Rafiq | G | 6-0 | 2 | Returning | Cornell | 15 | +2.8 | +1.1 |
| 1439 | Kaspar Sepp | F | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Cornell | 22 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| 1718 | DaMaryon Fishburn | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Cornell | 15 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
| 2455 | Elijah Griffin | F | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.1 | -0.2 | |
| 2552 | Ty Iwanonkiw | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Cornell | 11 | -1.0 | -0.3 |
| 2731 | Anthony Nimani | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Cornell | 18 | -0.9 | -0.4 |
| 2796 | AJ Rodriguez | F | 6-6 | 2 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.3 | -0.3 | |
| 3062 | Blake Lecklitner | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.5 | -0.3 | |
| 3316 | AJ LaBeau | F | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | Cornell | 9 | -1.7 | -0.4 |
| 3592 | Jax Abalos | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Cornell | 11 | -1.8 | -0.5 |
| 3702 | Ryan Burbach | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Cornell | 11 | -1.9 | -0.5 |
| 3790 | Corbin Zentner | G | 5-9 | 2 | Returning | Cornell | 14 | -1.7 | -0.6 |
| 3797 | Gioacchino Panzini | F | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Cornell | 14 | -1.7 | -0.6 |
| 4330 | Jacob Beccles | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Cornell | 22 | -1.8 | -1.0 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs | +10.8 | 81% | ||
| Thu Nov 05 | at | +0.6 | 52% | ||
| Wed Nov 11 | at | -4.6 | 36% | ||
| Sat Nov 14 | vs | +10.7 | 80% | ||
| Wed Nov 18 | at | -10.6 | 20% | ||
| Sat Nov 21 | at | +4.8 | 65% | ||
| Tue Nov 24 | vs | +13.6 | 86% | ||
| Wed Dec 02 | at | -1.9 | 44% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | at | -1.9 | 44% | ||
| Tue Dec 08 | vs | +12.3 | 84% | ||
| Mon Dec 21 | at | -1.6 | 45% | ||
| Mon Dec 28 | at | -7.9 | 26% | ||
| Thu Dec 31 | at | -19.0 | 6% | ||
| Tue Jan 05 | at | conf | +0.4 | 51% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | at | conf | +4.8 | 65% | |
| Fri Jan 15 | vs | conf | +5.2 | 66% | |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs | conf | +0.2 | 51% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | conf | +2.5 | 58% | |
| Fri Jan 29 | at | conf | -0.5 | 48% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | conf | +0.2 | 51% | |
| Fri Feb 05 | vs | conf | +4.8 | 65% | |
| Fri Feb 12 | vs | conf | +3.8 | 62% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | +4.4 | 64% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | -0.5 | 48% | |
| Fri Feb 26 | at | conf | +1.4 | 55% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | conf | -4.6 | 36% | |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | conf | +9.3 | 77% |
Projected margin is from Cornell's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.