Teams › Am. East · Compare Vermont with another team

Vermont
Vermont returns 67% of last season's minutes and rates #223 on offense and #199 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -9.0 to +5.5.
Why we have them here
Vermont's preseason projection of -1.7 (No. 202 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -1.9, about the -1.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 197 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.2, about its neighbours' -0.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.0. It returns 67% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (66%). The projection leans most on Gus Yalden (+3.8), Momo Nkugwa (+0.2) and John Broom (-0.1); the newcomer who matters most is John Broom, a transfer from South Alabama, at -0.1. Its 80% range, -9.0 to +5.5, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 67% · Transfer 33%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | Gus Yalden | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Vermont | 25 | +6.1 | +3.8 |
| 1354 | Momo Nkugwa | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Vermont | 15 | +0.6 | +0.2 |
| 1794 | John Broom | G | 6-5 | 2 | Transfer | South Alabama | 17 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| 2760 | Ben Wesson | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Vermont | 7 | -1.4 | -0.3 |
| 2803 | Noah Barnett | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Vermont | 21 | -0.8 | -0.4 |
| 3287 | Drew Bessette | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Vermont | 7 | -1.9 | -0.3 |
| 3419 | Lucas Mari | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Vermont | 18 | -1.3 | -0.6 |
| 3603 | Khalil Badru | G | 6-5 | 2 | Transfer | Iona | 12 | -1.7 | -0.5 |
| 3613 | David Simon | F | 6-11 | 3 | Returning | Vermont | 12 | -1.7 | -0.5 |
| 3943 | Daniil Glazkov | G | 6-6 | 2 | Transfer | Loyola Chicago | 13 | -1.9 | -0.6 |
| 4155 | Sincere Clemons | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Vermont | 6 | -3.1 | -0.5 |
| 4641 | Jackson Skipper | F | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Vermont | 10 | -3.2 | -0.8 |
| 4840 | Darrel Yepdo | G | 6-0 | 1 | Transfer | UMass Lowell | 24 | -2.4 | -1.5 |
| 5168 | Ben Michaels | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Vermont | 12 | -5.5 | -1.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at | -2.9 | 41% | ||
| Thu Nov 05 | at | -3.7 | 38% | ||
| Sun Nov 08 | vs | +5.6 | 68% | ||
| Wed Nov 18 | at | -10.8 | 19% | ||
| Sat Nov 21 | vs | +4.8 | 65% | ||
| Tue Nov 24 | at | -4.7 | 35% | ||
| Fri Nov 27 | N | -0.8 | 47% | ||
| Sat Nov 28 | N | -0.1 | 50% | ||
| Sun Nov 29 | at | -8.3 | 25% | ||
| Thu Dec 03 | vs | +4.0 | 63% | ||
| Sun Dec 06 | at | -29.1 | <1% | ||
| Thu Dec 10 | at | -5.5 | 33% | ||
| Sun Dec 13 | vs | +8.9 | 77% | ||
| Sun Dec 20 | at | -8.7 | 24% | ||
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | +2.4 | 58% | |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs | conf | +5.3 | 67% | |
| Thu Jan 14 | at | conf | +2.8 | 59% | |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs | conf | +6.8 | 71% | |
| Thu Jan 21 | at | conf | -1.8 | 44% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | conf | +4.6 | 65% | |
| Thu Jan 28 | at | conf | +2.2 | 57% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | conf | +5.5 | 67% | |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs | conf | +7.7 | 73% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | conf | +1.5 | 55% | |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | conf | +7.1 | 72% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | conf | +0.9 | 53% | |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | conf | +1.7 | 56% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | conf | +8.9 | 77% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | conf | -0.1 | 50% | |
| Tue Mar 02 | vs | conf | +6.6 | 71% |
Projected margin is from Vermont's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.