Teams › MAC · Compare Akron with another team
Akron
Akron returns 48% of last season's minutes and rates #77 on offense and #74 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +1.5 to +16.2.
Why we have them here
Akron's preseason projection of +8.8 (No. 73 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +3.6, less than the +4.8 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 47 at the end of 2025-26) adds +2.5, more than its neighbours' +1.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +2.3. It returns 48% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (41%). The projection leans most on Evan Mahaffey (+3.5), Ty Pence (+2.6) and Tahj Staveskie (+2.4); the newcomer who matters most is Ty Pence, a transfer from Illinois State, at +2.6. Its 80% range, +1.5 to +16.2, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 38% · Transfer 42% · Other newcomer 20%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187 | Evan Mahaffey | G | 6-6 | 4 | Returning | Akron | 28 | +5.0 | +3.5 |
| 337 | Ty Pence | G | 6-6 | 3 | Transfer | Illinois State | 26 | +4.1 | +2.6 |
| 434 | Tahj Staveskie | G | 6-1 | 4 | Transfer | Incarnate Word | 30 | +3.2 | +2.4 |
| 1117 | Buddy Hammer Jr. | F | 6-7 | 1 | Transfer | North Texas | 17 | +1.1 | +0.5 |
| 1853 | Tai Perkins | F | 6-0 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -0.4 | -0.1 | |
| 1888 | Exavier Wilson | F | 6-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -0.4 | -0.1 | |
| 1953 | Cody Head | F | 6-3 | 3 | Other newcomer | 6 | -0.6 | -0.1 | |
| 2060 | Josh Henderson | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -0.7 | -0.1 | |
| 2060 | RJ Jones | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -0.7 | -0.1 | |
| 2296 | Devan Christion | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -0.9 | -0.2 | |
| 2405 | Conner Groce | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | Akron | 9 | -1.0 | -0.2 |
| 2468 | Ognjen Stankovic | G | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Akron | 11 | -0.9 | -0.3 |
| 2493 | Marvin Musiime-Kamali | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Akron | 13 | -0.9 | -0.3 |
| 2501 | Colin White | F | 6-6 | 2 | Transfer | Ohio State | 13 | -0.9 | -0.3 |
| 3362 | Zach Halligan | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Akron | 15 | -1.4 | -0.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Louisiana #294 | +5.2 | 66% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Tulane #250 | +15.1 | 89% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | at |  Bucknell #313 | +7.0 | 71% | |
| Mon Nov 23 | N |  Wright State #165 | +6.1 | 69% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  Belmont #94 | +1.8 | 56% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | N |  App State #229 | +7.9 | 74% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Ball State #153 | conf | +8.4 | 75% |
| Wed Dec 16 | at |  Buffalo #209 | conf | +7.0 | 71% |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  Bowling Green #266 | conf | +13.1 | 85% |
| Tue Dec 29 | at |  Massachusetts #178 | conf | +4.3 | 63% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Western Michigan #151 | conf | +8.7 | 76% |
| Tue Jan 05 | at |  Ohio #232 | conf | +5.3 | 67% |
| Fri Jan 08 | vs |  Miami (OH) #96 | conf | +5.2 | 66% |
| Tue Jan 12 | at |  Eastern Michigan #244 | conf | +6.8 | 71% |
| Fri Jan 15 | at |  Toledo #173 | conf | +4.5 | 64% |
| Tue Jan 19 | vs |  Central Michigan #259 | conf | +12.4 | 84% |
| Fri Jan 22 | at | Miami (OH) #96 | conf | -1.1 | 46% |
| Tue Jan 26 | vs | Ohio #232 | conf | +11.8 | 83% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | Massachusetts #178 | conf | +10.2 | 79% |
| Tue Feb 02 | at | Western Michigan #151 | conf | +3.5 | 61% |
| Tue Feb 09 | vs | Buffalo #209 | conf | +10.5 | 80% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at |  Kent State #133 | conf | +3.2 | 60% |
| Tue Feb 16 | at | Bowling Green #266 | conf | +7.2 | 72% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Eastern Michigan #244 | conf | +11.7 | 83% |
| Tue Feb 23 | vs | Toledo #173 | conf | +9.5 | 78% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Ball State #153 | conf | +3.5 | 61% |
| Tue Mar 02 | at | Central Michigan #259 | conf | +6.3 | 69% |
| Fri Mar 05 | vs | Kent State #133 | conf | +8.2 | 74% |
Projected margin is from Akron's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.