Teams › MVC · Compare Belmont with another team
Belmont
Belmont returns 66% of last season's minutes and rates #90 on offense and #101 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -1.1 to +13.6.
Why we have them here
Belmont's preseason projection of +6.3 (No. 94 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +1.7, less than the +3.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 54 at the end of 2025-26) adds +2.2, more than its neighbours' +1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +2.1. It returns 66% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (43%). The projection leans most on Jack Smiley (+2.6), Eoin Dillon (+2.2) and Nic McClain (+1.1); the newcomer who matters most is Ring Malith, a transfer from SIU Edwardsville, at +0.7. Its 80% range, -1.1 to +13.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 66% · Transfer 27%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265 | Jack Smiley | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Belmont | 21 | +5.0 | +2.6 |
| 373 | Eoin Dillon | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Belmont | 20 | +4.3 | +2.2 |
| 814 | Nic McClain | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Belmont | 23 | +2.0 | +1.1 |
| 1021 | Ring Malith | G | 6-9 | 2 | Transfer | SIU Edwardsville | 23 | +1.3 | +0.7 |
| 1431 | Jabez Jenkins | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Belmont | 22 | +0.3 | +0.2 |
| 1819 | Keith Robbins | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Belmont | 9 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| 2131 | Graydon Lemke | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Belmont | 10 | -0.6 | -0.2 |
| 2273 | Cooper Haynes | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Belmont | 10 | -0.8 | -0.2 |
| 2846 | Aleksa Ristic | G | 6-3 | 1 | Transfer | Indiana | 7 | -1.5 | -0.3 |
| 3771 | Matthew Zobrist | G | 6-5 | 1 | Transfer | Bradley | 8 | -2.2 | -0.5 |
| 4415 | Kayden Fish | F | 6-6 | 3 | Transfer | Ball State | 16 | -2.2 | -0.9 |
| 4851 | Isaiah West | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | Belmont | 16 | -3.0 | -1.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Southern Indiana #315 | +15.3 | 89% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | at |  Lipscomb #118 | -3.8 | 38% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Furman #110 | +6.8 | 71% | |
| Mon Nov 23 | N |  Yale #95 | +0.2 | 50% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  Akron #73 | -1.8 | 44% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | N |  St. Bonaventure #126 | +2.5 | 58% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  Western Kentucky #160 | -1.3 | 46% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Middle Tennessee #127 | +7.7 | 73% | |
| Tue Dec 08 | at |  UAB #158 | -1.1 | 46% | |
| Mon Dec 14 | vs |  Charleston #141 | +8.7 | 76% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | at |  Bradley #194 | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
| Mon Dec 21 | at |  Illinois State #108 | conf | -1.8 | 44% |
| Tue Dec 29 | vs |  Northern Iowa #88 | conf | +1.6 | 55% |
| Fri Jan 01 | vs |  UIC #120 | conf | +4.5 | 64% |
| Tue Jan 05 | at |  Drake #104 | conf | -0.8 | 47% |
| Fri Jan 08 | vs | Illinois State #108 | conf | +3.6 | 62% |
| Tue Jan 12 | at |  Evansville #317 | conf | +6.7 | 71% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Southern Illinois #206 | conf | +8.0 | 74% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  Indiana State #116 | conf | +4.3 | 64% |
| Thu Jan 21 | at |  Valparaiso #172 | conf | +2.2 | 57% |
| Sun Jan 24 | at | UIC #120 | conf | +0.4 | 51% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs | Drake #104 | conf | +3.4 | 61% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | Southern Illinois #206 | conf | +3.5 | 61% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at |  Murray State #117 | conf | +0.0 | 50% |
| Tue Feb 09 | vs | Bradley #194 | conf | +7.7 | 73% |
| Fri Feb 12 | vs | Evansville #317 | conf | +12.0 | 83% |
| Mon Feb 15 | at | Indiana State #116 | conf | -1.0 | 47% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Murray State #117 | conf | +4.4 | 64% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | Valparaiso #172 | conf | +6.6 | 70% |
| Sun Feb 28 | at | Northern Iowa #88 | conf | -2.9 | 41% |
Projected margin is from Belmont's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.