Teams › SoCon · Compare Furman with another team
Furman
Furman returns 69% of last season's minutes and rates #119 on offense and #121 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -3.5 to +11.1.
Why we have them here
Furman's preseason projection of +3.9 (No. 110 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +2.7, about the +2.2 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 156 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.3, about its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.6. It returns 69% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (64%). The projection leans most on Charles Johnston (+5.3), Asa Thomas (+2.9) and Jaxson Bell (+0.8); the newcomer who matters most is Jaxson Bell, a transfer from Army, at +0.8. Its 80% range, -3.5 to +11.1, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 66% · Transfer 27% · Freshman 4% · Other newcomer 3%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Charles Johnston | F | 6-11 | 2 | Returning | Furman | 28 | +7.5 | +5.3 |
| 276 | Asa Thomas | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Furman | 27 | +4.3 | +2.9 |
| 966 | Jaxson Bell | G | 6-3 | 2 | Transfer | Army | 22 | +1.5 | +0.8 |
| 1324 | Jordan Butler | F | 7-0 | 3 | Transfer | South Carolina | 10 | +0.8 | +0.2 |
| 1497 | Luka Toews | G | 6-1 | 2 | Transfer | Boston College | 21 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 2026 | Mason Smith | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Furman | 9 | -0.5 | -0.1 |
| 2295 | Cole Bowser | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Furman | 18 | -0.6 | -0.3 |
| 2441 | Abijah Franklin | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Furman | 11 | -0.9 | -0.2 |
| 2581 | Gunnar Lewis | G | 5-10 | 1 | Returning | Furman | 5 | -1.5 | -0.2 |
| 2728 | Davis Molnar | F | 6-6 | 3 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.6 | -0.2 | |
| 2826 | Cameron Elwer | G | 6-0 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | -1.4 | -0.3 |
| 3117 | Thomas Tillman | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Furman | 4 | -2.4 | -0.2 |
| 4063 | Collin O'Neal | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Furman | 9 | -2.5 | -0.5 |
| 4148 | Owen Ritger | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Furman | 7 | -3.0 | -0.5 |
| 5090 | Eddrin Bronson | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Furman | 15 | -4.1 | -1.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | N |  Bethune-Cookman #220 | +4.3 | 64% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | vs |  Northern Iowa #88 | +3.1 | 60% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | at |  Holy Cross #352 | +5.9 | 68% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Belmont #94 | -6.8 | 29% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  Radford #241 | -0.2 | 49% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | vs |  Elon #198 | +9.1 | 77% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  Austin Peay #163 | +7.9 | 74% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  Troy #155 | -3.8 | 38% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  UNC Greensboro #246 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  North Carolina A&T #285 | +12.0 | 84% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  Western Carolina #152 | conf | +4.4 | 64% |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  East Tennessee State #171 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Wed Dec 30 | at |  VMI #350 | conf | +7.9 | 74% |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Tennessee Tech #280 | conf | +8.6 | 76% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  Samford #190 | conf | +5.6 | 68% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  The Citadel #345 | conf | +7.7 | 74% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Mercer #231 | conf | +7.2 | 72% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  Wofford #306 | conf | +9.6 | 78% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | Tennessee Tech #280 | conf | +4.4 | 64% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs | The Citadel #345 | conf | +12.0 | 84% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | East Tennessee State #171 | conf | +5.0 | 66% |
| Wed Feb 03 | at | Samford #190 | conf | +0.6 | 52% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | Mercer #231 | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
| Wed Feb 10 | vs |  Chattanooga #226 | conf | +6.7 | 71% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Western Carolina #152 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | VMI #350 | conf | +12.8 | 85% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Wofford #306 | conf | +5.8 | 68% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | Chattanooga #226 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | UNC Greensboro #246 | conf | +7.4 | 73% |
Projected margin is from Furman's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.