Teams › UAC · Compare Austin Peay with another team
Austin Peay
Austin Peay returns 62% of last season's minutes and rates #124 on offense and #244 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -7.1 to +7.7.
Why we have them here
Austin Peay's preseason projection of +0.3 (No. 163 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +1.0, about the +0.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 108 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.8, about its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.8. It returns 62% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (61%). The projection leans most on Collin Parker (+3.9), Rashaud Marshall (+2.8) and Zyree Collins (+1.5); the newcomer who matters most is Talon Todd, a freshman, recruit No. 346, at -0.3. Its 80% range, -7.1 to +7.7, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 62% · Transfer 14% · Freshman 19%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147 | Collin Parker | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Austin Peay | 28 | +5.6 | +3.9 |
| 317 | Rashaud Marshall | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Austin Peay | 28 | +4.0 | +2.8 |
| 682 | Zyree Collins | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | Austin Peay | 25 | +2.4 | +1.5 |
| 2619 | Cameron Ryans | F | 6-5 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 12 | -1.0 | -0.3 |
| 2815 | Talon Todd | G | 6-0 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | -1.4 | -0.3 |
| 3238 | Traymaine Belanger | F | 6-7 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 10 | -1.6 | -0.4 |
| 3410 | Terrell Gaines | G | 5-8 | 2 | Returning | Austin Peay | 8 | -1.9 | -0.4 |
| 3541 | Matt Enright | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Austin Peay | 15 | -1.5 | -0.5 |
| 3565 | Bradley Floyd | G | 6-5 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 9 | -1.9 | -0.4 |
| 3964 | Quan Lax | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Austin Peay | 12 | -2.0 | -0.6 |
| 4282 | Chuck Love | G | 6-7 | 1 | Transfer | Loyola Chicago | 17 | -2.0 | -0.9 |
| 4682 | Shamarrie Hugie | G | 6-6 | 1 | Transfer | Marshall | 12 | -3.1 | -0.9 |
| 5029 | Creighton Morisch | F | 6-10 | 1 | Returning | Austin Peay | 10 | -4.7 | -1.1 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  Kennesaw State #167 | -6.0 | 32% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Wichita State #62 | -12.5 | 16% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | vs |  UT Rio Grande Valley #191 | +7.0 | 71% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | at |  Furman #110 | -7.9 | 26% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  Wyoming #121 | -7.8 | 26% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs | Kennesaw State #167 | +6.5 | 70% | |
| Thu Dec 10 | vs |  Air Force #357 | +15.5 | 90% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | at |  Seattle U #111 | -8.6 | 24% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  Bellarmine #305 | +10.9 | 81% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | vs |  Lipscomb #118 | +4.2 | 63% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | at |  Queens University #142 | -6.9 | 29% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  West Florida #304 | -0.8 | 47% | |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  Eastern Kentucky #264 | conf | +6.5 | 70% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  North Alabama #332 | conf | +3.9 | 62% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  UT Arlington #211 | conf | -0.9 | 47% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Tarleton State #257 | conf | +6.3 | 69% |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs |  Central Arkansas #181 | conf | +3.7 | 62% |
| Wed Jan 27 | at |  Abilene Christian #192 | conf | -1.3 | 46% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | Tarleton State #257 | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs |  Little Rock #320 | conf | +9.0 | 77% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | UT Arlington #211 | conf | +4.5 | 64% |
| Wed Feb 10 | vs | Abilene Christian #192 | conf | +4.1 | 63% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at |  West Georgia #295 | conf | +3.0 | 59% |
| Wed Feb 17 | at | Eastern Kentucky #264 | conf | +1.1 | 53% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | West Georgia #295 | conf | +7.9 | 74% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | North Alabama #332 | conf | +9.3 | 78% |
| Wed Mar 03 | at | Little Rock #320 | conf | +4.0 | 63% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | Central Arkansas #181 | conf | -2.3 | 43% |
Projected margin is from Austin Peay's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.