Teams › UAC · Compare Abilene Christian with another team
Abilene Christian
Abilene Christian returns 76% of last season's minutes and rates #232 on offense and #164 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -8.7 to +6.0.
Why we have them here
Abilene Christian's preseason projection of -1.4 (No. 192 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +0.1, more than the -1.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 269 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.2, less than its neighbours' -0.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.6. It returns 76% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (66%). The projection leans most on Bradyn Hubbard (+3.5), Rich Smith (+2.2) and Cbo Newton (-0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Noah Bolanga, a transfer from Utah Tech, at -0.2. Its 80% range, -8.7 to +6.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 76% · Transfer 17%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 174 | Bradyn Hubbard | F | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Abilene Christian | 27 | +5.2 | +3.5 |
| 449 | Rich Smith | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Abilene Christian | 27 | +3.3 | +2.2 |
| 2005 | Cbo Newton | G | 6-3 | 2 | Returning | Abilene Christian | 22 | -0.3 | -0.2 |
| 2006 | Noah Bolanga | G | 6-8 | 2 | Transfer | Utah Tech | 28 | -0.3 | -0.2 |
| 2919 | Evan Boisdur | G | 6-1 | 1 | Transfer | Grand Canyon | 6 | -1.7 | -0.3 |
| 3375 | Isaiah Carrillo | G | 5-10 | 1 | Returning | Abilene Christian | 6 | -2.2 | -0.3 |
| 3474 | Zy Wright | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Abilene Christian | 16 | -1.4 | -0.5 |
| 3600 | Isaac Dye | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Abilene Christian | 8 | -2.1 | -0.4 |
| 3613 | Joseph Scott | F | 6-9 | 1 | Returning | Abilene Christian | 13 | -1.6 | -0.5 |
| 3994 | Yaniel Rivera | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Abilene Christian | 20 | -1.6 | -0.8 |
| 4373 | Tylan Lewis | G | 6-0 | 1 | Returning | Abilene Christian | 5 | -4.0 | -0.5 |
| 5017 | Ma'Shy Hill | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Abilene Christian | 8 | -5.0 | -1.0 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Colorado #85 | -13.4 | 14% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | vs |  Lamar #238 | +6.8 | 71% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | vs |  Stephen F. Austin #161 | +4.2 | 63% | |
| Mon Nov 16 | at |  Missouri State #201 | -4.6 | 35% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | at |  South Dakota State #213 | -4.9 | 34% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | vs |  Pepperdine #249 | +7.2 | 72% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs | South Dakota State #213 | +5.9 | 69% | |
| Sun Dec 13 | at |  Utah #72 | -14.3 | 12% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  Stetson #311 | -1.2 | 46% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | at |  Florida Gulf Coast #299 | -1.3 | 46% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | vs |  North Florida #321 | +10.8 | 81% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Jacksonville #253 | +7.0 | 72% | |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  Little Rock #320 | conf | +7.2 | 72% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  Central Arkansas #181 | conf | -3.4 | 39% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  UT Arlington #211 | conf | +2.8 | 59% |
| Wed Jan 20 | at |  North Alabama #332 | conf | +2.6 | 59% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  West Georgia #295 | conf | +1.7 | 56% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs |  Austin Peay #163 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | UT Arlington #211 | conf | -2.0 | 44% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs | Central Arkansas #181 | conf | +2.0 | 56% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs |  Tarleton State #257 | conf | +4.5 | 64% |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | Austin Peay #163 | conf | -4.1 | 37% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at |  Eastern Kentucky #264 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Wed Feb 17 | vs | North Alabama #332 | conf | +7.5 | 73% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | West Georgia #295 | conf | +6.1 | 69% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | Tarleton State #257 | conf | -0.9 | 47% |
| Wed Mar 03 | vs | Eastern Kentucky #264 | conf | +4.8 | 65% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at | Little Rock #320 | conf | +2.8 | 59% |
Projected margin is from Abilene Christian's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.