Teams › MAC · Compare Central Michigan with another team
Central Michigan
Central Michigan returns 72% of last season's minutes and rates #273 on offense and #237 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -11.7 to +2.7.
Why we have them here
Central Michigan's preseason projection of -4.5 (No. 259 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.1, about the -2.7 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 286 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.3, about its neighbours' -0.8; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.4. It returns 72% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on Tamario Adley (+2.4), Nathan Claerbaut (+1.0) and Phat Phat Brooks (+0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Uchenna Amene, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.2. Its 80% range, -11.7 to +2.7, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 64% · Transfer 11% · Other newcomer 26%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 350 | Tamario Adley | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Central Michigan | 23 | +4.2 | +2.4 |
| 858 | Nathan Claerbaut | C | 7-0 | 1 | Returning | Central Michigan | 22 | +1.9 | +1.0 |
| 1512 | Phat Phat Brooks | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Central Michigan | 22 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| 2698 | Jayson Petty | G | 6-3 | 3 | Transfer | Kansas City | 21 | -0.8 | -0.4 |
| 2722 | Rodney Johnson Jr. | F | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Central Michigan | 11 | -1.1 | -0.3 |
| 2815 | Keenan Garner | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Central Michigan | 17 | -1.0 | -0.4 |
| 2939 | Uchenna Amene | F | 6-0 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.9 | -0.2 | |
| 3103 | Tyre Acuff | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -2.1 | -0.3 | |
| 3257 | Jayden Hackett | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -2.2 | -0.3 | |
| 3362 | Jake Bascom | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -2.3 | -0.3 | |
| 3362 | Nsikan Usen | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -2.3 | -0.3 | |
| 3447 | Jacob Wrencher | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -2.4 | -0.3 | |
| 3506 | Kayden Nation | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Central Michigan | 5 | -2.6 | -0.3 |
| 3517 | Travis Ambrose | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -2.4 | -0.3 | |
| 3666 | Brock Mendoza | F | 6-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -2.5 | -0.4 | |
| 3666 | Kareem Aburashed | F | 6-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -2.5 | -0.4 | |
| 3971 | Jorden Brooks | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Central Michigan | 3 | -4.1 | -0.3 |
| 4188 | Conrad Luczynski | C | 7-2 | 3 | Other newcomer | 4 | -3.8 | -0.4 | |
| 4592 | Jalen Kampen | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Central Michigan | 8 | -3.6 | -0.7 |
| 4900 | Will Ashford | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Central Michigan | 6 | -5.0 | -0.8 |
| 5068 | Jaxson Whitaker | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Central Michigan | 11 | -4.7 | -1.3 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  UL Monroe #359 | +1.3 | 54% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | vs |  Youngstown State #215 | +4.6 | 65% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Northern Kentucky #270 | -5.5 | 33% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | at |  Dayton #74 | -15.2 | 11% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | at |  Pittsburgh #68 | -14.8 | 11% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | at |  Notre Dame #75 | -14.4 | 12% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | N |  Tulsa #82 | -8.6 | 24% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  Miami (OH) #96 | conf | -10.6 | 20% |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Ohio #232 | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
| Wed Dec 09 | vs |  Kent State #133 | conf | -1.6 | 45% |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Eastern Michigan #244 | conf | -2.5 | 42% |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Arkansas #25 | -22.7 | 3% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Toledo #173 | conf | +0.2 | 51% |
| Tue Jan 05 | vs |  Bowling Green #266 | conf | +3.4 | 61% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Ball State #153 | conf | -5.4 | 33% |
| Tue Jan 12 | vs |  Buffalo #209 | conf | +1.3 | 54% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Massachusetts #178 | conf | -5.5 | 33% |
| Tue Jan 19 | at |  Akron #73 | conf | -12.4 | 16% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Western Michigan #151 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Tue Jan 26 | at | Toledo #173 | conf | -4.8 | 35% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | Kent State #133 | conf | -6.5 | 30% |
| Tue Feb 02 | vs | Massachusetts #178 | conf | +0.5 | 51% |
| Tue Feb 09 | vs | Eastern Michigan #244 | conf | +2.4 | 58% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Ohio #232 | conf | -4.1 | 37% |
| Tue Feb 16 | at | Buffalo #209 | conf | -2.3 | 43% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Miami (OH) #96 | conf | -4.3 | 36% |
| Tue Feb 23 | at | Bowling Green #266 | conf | -2.4 | 42% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Western Michigan #151 | conf | -5.8 | 32% |
| Tue Mar 02 | vs | Akron #73 | conf | -6.3 | 31% |
| Fri Mar 05 | vs | Ball State #153 | conf | -0.5 | 48% |
Projected margin is from Central Michigan's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.