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Le Moyne
Le Moyne returns 86% of last season's minutes and rates #219 on offense and #215 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -9.7 to +5.1.
Why we have them here
Le Moyne's preseason projection of -2.3 (No. 217 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -0.5, more than the -1.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 264 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.0, about its neighbours' -0.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.0. It returns 86% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (63%). The projection leans most on Shilo Jackson (+2.5), Trent Mosquera (+2.0) and Tennessee Rainwater (+1.1); the newcomer who matters most is Damien King, a transfer from UT Martin, at +1.0. Its 80% range, -9.7 to +5.1, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 82% · Transfer 14% · Other newcomer 4%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 387 | Shilo Jackson | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Le Moyne | 27 | +3.7 | +2.5 |
| 519 | Trent Mosquera | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Le Moyne | 28 | +2.9 | +2.0 |
| 808 | Damien King | G | 6-4 | 1 | Transfer | UT Martin | 17 | +2.3 | +1.0 |
| 847 | Tennessee Rainwater | G | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Le Moyne | 23 | +1.8 | +1.1 |
| 2312 | Trevor Roe | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Le Moyne | 10 | -0.8 | -0.2 |
| 3247 | Josiah Lee | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Le Moyne | 6 | -2.0 | -0.3 |
| 3403 | Sam Donnelly | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Le Moyne | 4 | -2.6 | -0.3 |
| 3684 | Nate Fouts | F | 6-8 | 3 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.2 | -0.4 | |
| 3779 | Kaelin Thomas | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | Le Moyne | 4 | -3.1 | -0.3 |
| 4174 | Eli Greenberg | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Le Moyne | 13 | -2.2 | -0.7 |
| 4446 | Jayden Teat | G | 6-2 | 3 | Transfer | Sacramento State | 12 | -2.6 | -0.8 |
| 4517 | Isaac Nyakundi | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Le Moyne | 8 | -3.3 | -0.7 |
| 4638 | Ametri Moss | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | Le Moyne | 17 | -2.5 | -1.1 |
| 4956 | Samuel Hincapie | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Le Moyne | 13 | -3.8 | -1.2 |
| 5171 | Jakob Blakley | G | 6-0 | 2 | Returning | Le Moyne | 12 | -5.5 | -1.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at | -22.3 | 4% | ||
| Thu Nov 05 | at | -17.5 | 8% | ||
| Sat Nov 14 | vs | +9.6 | 78% | ||
| Tue Nov 17 | at | -2.4 | 42% | ||
| Fri Nov 20 | at | -16.7 | 9% | ||
| Fri Nov 27 | N | +4.0 | 63% | ||
| Sat Nov 28 | N | +4.2 | 64% | ||
| Sun Nov 29 | at | +0.9 | 53% | ||
| Thu Dec 03 | vs | +10.3 | 80% | ||
| Sun Dec 06 | at | -16.0 | 10% | ||
| Sun Dec 13 | at | -4.3 | 36% | ||
| Fri Dec 18 | at | -2.8 | 41% | ||
| Mon Dec 21 | at | -13.2 | 14% | ||
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | -3.1 | 40% | |
| Mon Jan 04 | vs | conf | +3.6 | 62% | |
| Fri Jan 08 | vs | conf | +6.6 | 70% | |
| Sun Jan 10 | vs | conf | +10.1 | 79% | |
| Thu Jan 14 | at | conf | +2.1 | 57% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | conf | +0.9 | 53% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | conf | -2.3 | 43% | |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs | conf | +7.8 | 74% | |
| Wed Feb 03 | at | conf | +2.7 | 59% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | conf | +2.6 | 58% | |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | conf | +2.3 | 57% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | conf | +5.0 | 66% | |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | conf | +6.9 | 71% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | +2.7 | 59% | |
| Thu Feb 25 | vs | conf | +5.6 | 67% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | conf | +7.5 | 73% |
Projected margin is from Le Moyne's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.