Teams › Metro · Compare Manhattan with another team
Manhattan
Manhattan returns 53% of last season's minutes and rates #253 on offense and #335 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -14.5 to -0.1.
Why we have them here
Manhattan's preseason projection of -7.3 (No. 309 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -3.7, more than the -4.5 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 319 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.7, about its neighbours' -1.6; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.2. It returns 53% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (71%). The projection leans most on Jaden Winston (+1.1), Anthony Isaac (+0.3) and Ognjen Stankovic (-0.1); the newcomer who matters most is Ognjen Stankovic, a transfer from Akron, at -0.1. Its 80% range, -14.5 to -0.1, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 40% · Transfer 27% · Other newcomer 33%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 879 | Jaden Winston | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | Manhattan | 27 | +1.6 | +1.1 |
| 1265 | Anthony Isaac | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Manhattan | 20 | +0.7 | +0.3 |
| 2233 | Ognjen Stankovic | G | 6-8 | 1 | Transfer | Akron | 6 | -0.9 | -0.1 |
| 2792 | Ben Tweedy | G | 6-4 | 2 | Transfer | Colgate | 24 | -0.8 | -0.5 |
| 2936 | Liam McChesney | F | 6-10 | 6 | Transfer | Creighton | 3 | -2.3 | -0.2 |
| 3257 | Michael Lawlor | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Manhattan | 5 | -2.3 | -0.3 |
| 3301 | Jameson Borodawka | F | 5-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -2.0 | -0.3 | |
| 3306 | Jahzar Greene | F | 5-11 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -2.1 | -0.3 | |
| 3371 | DaSean Lewis | F | 5-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.0 | -0.3 | |
| 3395 | Josiah Sabino | G | 6-4 | 3 | Transfer | Niagara | 16 | -1.3 | -0.5 |
| 3672 | Asier Miguel | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Manhattan | 5 | -2.8 | -0.3 |
| 3705 | Nick Lukmann | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.4 | -0.4 | |
| 3744 | Kevin Kearney | F | 6-7 | 1 | Transfer | Saint Joseph's | 4 | -3.3 | -0.3 |
| 3793 | Jaeden Robley | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.5 | -0.4 | |
| 3793 | Anthony Pacciarelli | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.5 | -0.4 | |
| 3868 | Louis Fairtlough | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.5 | -0.4 | |
| 3934 | Isaac Johnson | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.6 | -0.5 | |
| 3995 | Dusan Eric | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.7 | -0.5 | |
| 3995 | Novak Manojlovic | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.7 | -0.5 | |
| 4206 | Jackson Delaney | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Manhattan | 4 | -3.8 | -0.4 |
| 4661 | Quron Elliott | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Manhattan | 9 | -3.5 | -0.8 |
| 4998 | Erik Oliver-Bush | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Manhattan | 11 | -4.2 | -1.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Nov 03 | at |  Kentucky #22 | -25.1 | 2% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | vs |  UAlbany #293 | +4.3 | 64% | |
| Sun Nov 08 | at |  Maine #318 | -4.4 | 36% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Le Moyne #217 | -9.6 | 22% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | vs |  Fordham #125 | -1.9 | 44% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | at |  Miami #18 | -24.5 | 2% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | at |  NJIT #347 | -2.3 | 43% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | at |  Morgan State #348 | -3.5 | 39% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | vs |  Saint Peter's #289 | conf | +1.0 | 53% |
| Fri Dec 04 | at |  Fairfield #248 | conf | -4.6 | 35% |
| Tue Dec 08 | vs |  Loyola Maryland #344 | +7.4 | 73% | |
| Thu Dec 17 | at |  Wagner #291 | -5.7 | 32% | |
| Sun Dec 20 | at |  New Hampshire #335 | -4.2 | 37% | |
| Fri Jan 01 | vs |  Merrimack #176 | conf | -2.7 | 41% |
| Sun Jan 03 | at |  Mount St. Mary's #204 | conf | -5.5 | 33% |
| Fri Jan 08 | vs |  Quinnipiac #200 | conf | -2.1 | 43% |
| Sun Jan 10 | at |  Sacred Heart #272 | conf | -4.4 | 36% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  Marist #205 | conf | -6.2 | 31% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Rider #351 | conf | +5.2 | 66% |
| Mon Jan 18 | at |  Siena #208 | conf | -5.6 | 32% |
| Fri Jan 22 | vs | Mount St. Mary's #204 | conf | -1.9 | 44% |
| Sun Jan 24 | at | Merrimack #176 | conf | -6.5 | 30% |
| Fri Jan 29 | vs |  Niagara #329 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Sun Jan 31 | vs |  Canisius #346 | conf | +4.4 | 64% |
| Fri Feb 05 | at |  Iona #282 | conf | -3.8 | 38% |
| Sun Feb 07 | vs | Sacred Heart #272 | conf | +0.4 | 51% |
| Thu Feb 11 | at | Quinnipiac #200 | conf | -6.0 | 31% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Rider #351 | conf | +1.4 | 54% |
| Fri Feb 19 | vs | Iona #282 | conf | +0.8 | 53% |
| Sun Feb 21 | at | Saint Peter's #289 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Fri Feb 26 | vs | Siena #208 | conf | -1.8 | 44% |
Projected margin is from Manhattan's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.