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Canisius
Canisius returns 54% of last season's minutes and rates #347 on offense and #332 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -18.4 to -4.0.
Why we have them here
Canisius's preseason projection of -11.2 (No. 346 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -5.9, about the -6.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 343 at the end of 2025-26) adds -2.7, about its neighbours' -2.4; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.8. It returns 54% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (76%). The projection leans most on Kahlil Singleton (+1.2), Demarris Winters (+0.1) and Trevor Augustine (-0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Demarris Winters, a transfer from UT Rio Grande Valley, at +0.1. Its 80% range, -18.4 to -4.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 54% · Transfer 23% · Other newcomer 23%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 798 | Kahlil Singleton | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Canisius | 26 | +1.9 | +1.2 |
| 1482 | Demarris Winters | G | 6-3 | 1 | Transfer | UT Rio Grande Valley | 8 | +0.4 | +0.1 |
| 3165 | Nate Deer | F | 6-10 | 2 | Transfer | Oakland | 4 | -2.4 | -0.2 |
| 3571 | Bryan Ndjonga | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Canisius | 23 | -1.2 | -0.7 |
| 3698 | Trevor Augustine | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Canisius | 2 | -4.0 | -0.2 |
| 3760 | Nicco DiGiulio | G | 5-11 | 2 | Returning | Canisius | 3 | -4.0 | -0.3 |
| 3808 | Jerry Guerrero | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -2.6 | -0.4 | |
| 3818 | Max Jusianiec | G | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Canisius | 8 | -2.3 | -0.5 |
| 3884 | Zach Christian | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Canisius | 2 | -4.3 | -0.3 |
| 3886 | Alex Mack | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -2.7 | -0.4 | |
| 3983 | Andreo Ash | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Canisius | 3 | -3.9 | -0.3 |
| 4026 | Will Fowler | G | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.8 | -0.5 | |
| 4069 | Dorsett Mulcahy | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.9 | -0.5 | |
| 4125 | Nate Fouts | F | 6-8 | 3 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.9 | -0.5 | |
| 4125 | Abu Riak | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.9 | -0.5 | |
| 4131 | Michael Wilson Jr. | F | 6-6 | 2 | Transfer | Bellarmine | 11 | -2.3 | -0.6 |
| 4183 | Will Taylor | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -3.0 | -0.5 | |
| 4241 | Clinton Efinda | F | 6-5 | 2 | Transfer | UNC Greensboro | 10 | -2.6 | -0.6 |
| 4583 | Evan van der Plas | F | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Canisius | 5 | -4.7 | -0.5 |
| 4695 | King Ijeoma | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Canisius | 6 | -4.4 | -0.7 |
| 4704 | Javante Edwards | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Canisius | 15 | -2.8 | -1.0 |
| 4973 | Anthony Benard | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | Canisius | 8 | -4.9 | -0.9 |
| 5042 | Chris Kumu | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Canisius | 7 | -5.4 | -1.0 |
| 5162 | Preist Ryan | F | 6-6 | 3 | Transfer | Cleveland State | 13 | -5.1 | -1.7 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Penn State #89 | -18.3 | 7% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | vs |  St. Bonaventure #126 | -4.1 | 37% | |
| Thu Nov 12 | at |  Brown #184 | -11.6 | 17% | |
| Sun Nov 15 | at |  Buffalo #209 | -9.4 | 22% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | vs |  Mercyhurst #239 | +0.1 | 50% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | vs |  UAlbany #293 | +1.9 | 56% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | vs |  Western Illinois #362 | +8.4 | 76% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | at |  UIC #120 | -14.0 | 12% | |
| Fri Dec 04 | vs |  Rider #351 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Sun Dec 06 | vs |  Mount St. Mary's #204 | conf | -4.1 | 37% |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Duquesne #156 | -13.6 | 13% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | at |  Syracuse #71 | -19.7 | 5% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  DePaul #97 | -16.4 | 9% | |
| Fri Jan 01 | at |  Marist #205 | conf | -8.3 | 25% |
| Sun Jan 03 | at |  Sacred Heart #272 | conf | -6.8 | 29% |
| Fri Jan 08 | vs |  Saint Peter's #289 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
| Sun Jan 10 | vs |  Iona #282 | conf | -1.5 | 45% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Merrimack #176 | conf | -8.6 | 24% |
| Mon Jan 18 | at |  Fairfield #248 | conf | -6.9 | 28% |
| Fri Jan 22 | vs | Sacred Heart #272 | conf | -1.9 | 44% |
| Sun Jan 24 | at |  Niagara #329 | conf | -2.9 | 40% |
| Fri Jan 29 | at | Saint Peter's #289 | conf | -5.5 | 33% |
| Sun Jan 31 | at |  Manhattan #309 | conf | -4.4 | 36% |
| Fri Feb 05 | vs |  Quinnipiac #200 | conf | -4.3 | 36% |
| Sun Feb 07 | vs | Marist #205 | conf | -3.9 | 37% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | Niagara #329 | conf | +0.5 | 52% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at |  Siena #208 | conf | -7.8 | 26% |
| Fri Feb 19 | vs | Fairfield #248 | conf | -2.7 | 41% |
| Sun Feb 21 | vs | Merrimack #176 | conf | -4.7 | 35% |
| Fri Feb 26 | at | Mount St. Mary's #204 | conf | -7.8 | 26% |
| Sun Feb 28 | at | Rider #351 | conf | -1.2 | 46% |
Projected margin is from Canisius's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.