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Florida International
Florida International returns 49% of last season's minutes and rates #141 on offense and #161 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -5.9 to +8.6.
Why we have them here
Florida International's preseason projection of +1.4 (No. 143 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +3.0, more than the +0.8 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 218 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.4, about its neighbours' +0.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.5. It returns 49% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (49%). The projection leans most on Tijan Saine Jr. (+3.1), Jerald Colonel (+2.4) and Zawdie Jackson (+1.9); the newcomer who matters most is Tijan Saine Jr., a transfer from Weber State, at +3.1. Its 80% range, -5.9 to +8.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 42% · Transfer 41% · Freshman 7% · Other newcomer 10%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227 | Tijan Saine Jr. | G | 5-10 | 1 | Transfer | Weber State | 26 | +4.8 | +3.1 |
| 316 | Jerald Colonel | F | 6-9 | 2 | Transfer | Stephen F. Austin | 21 | +4.6 | +2.4 |
| 506 | Zawdie Jackson | G | 6-1 | 2 | Returning | Florida International | 25 | +3.1 | +1.9 |
| 940 | Hamed Olayinka | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Florida International | 20 | +1.6 | +0.8 |
| 1105 | Ramone Seals | F | 6-6 | 2 | Transfer | Kennesaw State | 13 | +1.3 | +0.4 |
| 1152 | Brit Harris | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Florida International | 15 | +1.1 | +0.4 |
| 1785 | Trey Beamer | G | 6-1 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | -0.2 | +0.0 |
| 2439 | Jalan Wingfield | F | 6-8 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 6 | -1.2 | -0.2 |
| 2898 | Jorge Santos | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.9 | -0.2 | |
| 2957 | Aydan Clinton | F | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Florida International | 4 | -2.3 | -0.2 |
| 3043 | Corey Caulker | G | 6-0 | 1 | Transfer | East Carolina | 22 | -1.0 | -0.5 |
| 3049 | Gvidas Gicevicius | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -2.0 | -0.3 | |
| 3135 | Michael Kelvin II | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -2.1 | -0.3 | |
| 3316 | Renato Ruiz | G | 6-1 | 3 | Returning | Florida International | 4 | -2.6 | -0.3 |
| 3410 | Andreas Holst | F | 7-0 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -2.3 | -0.3 | |
| 3835 | Amarion Nimmers | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Florida International | 5 | -2.8 | -0.4 |
| 4614 | Ibrahim Olajuwon | F | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | Florida International | 10 | -3.3 | -0.8 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Nov 06 | vs | +12.0 | 83% | ||
| Fri Nov 13 | at | +0.7 | 52% | ||
| Tue Nov 17 | at | -4.9 | 35% | ||
| Mon Nov 23 | vs | +11.0 | 81% | ||
| Tue Nov 24 | vs | +11.9 | 83% | ||
| Wed Nov 25 | vs | +5.6 | 67% | ||
| Wed Dec 02 | vs | +5.0 | 65% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | at | -2.7 | 42% | ||
| Sat Dec 12 | at | -14.2 | 13% | ||
| Wed Dec 16 | at | -12.5 | 16% | ||
| Sun Dec 20 | vs | +10.1 | 79% | ||
| Thu Dec 31 | at | conf | -2.6 | 42% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | -0.8 | 48% | |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs | conf | +2.8 | 59% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | +9.5 | 78% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs | conf | +4.8 | 65% | |
| Thu Jan 21 | at | conf | -3.9 | 38% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | conf | -1.7 | 45% | |
| Thu Jan 28 | vs | conf | +4.8 | 65% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | conf | +3.8 | 62% | |
| Thu Feb 04 | at | conf | +6.2 | 69% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | conf | -2.8 | 41% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | conf | +0.3 | 51% | |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | conf | +3.3 | 60% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | conf | +1.7 | 55% | |
| Thu Feb 25 | at | conf | +0.4 | 51% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | conf | -1.9 | 44% | |
| Thu Mar 04 | vs | conf | +4.3 | 63% | |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | conf | +2.4 | 58% |
Projected margin is from Florida International's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.