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Presbyterian
Presbyterian returns 86% of last season's minutes and rates #255 on offense and #226 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -11.0 to +3.8.
Why we have them here
Presbyterian's preseason projection of -3.6 (No. 243 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.7, about the -2.4 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 268 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.1, about its neighbours' -0.7; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.1. It returns 86% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (68%). The projection leans most on Triston Wilson (+0.8), Jonah Pierce (+0.4) and Carl Parrish (+0.4); the newcomer who matters most is Augustine Ayelyine, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.6. Its 80% range, -11.0 to +3.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 81% · Other newcomer 5%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1015 | Triston Wilson | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Presbyterian | 25 | +1.2 | +0.8 |
| 1229 | Jonah Pierce | F | 6-10 | 3 | Returning | Presbyterian | 26 | +0.7 | +0.4 |
| 1248 | Carl Parrish | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Presbyterian | 28 | +0.6 | +0.4 |
| 2157 | Khalon Hudson | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Presbyterian | 13 | -0.6 | -0.2 |
| 2984 | Chidi Chiakwelu | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Presbyterian | 14 | -1.2 | -0.4 |
| 3930 | Luke Allison | G | 6-0 | 2 | Returning | Presbyterian | 7 | -2.7 | -0.4 |
| 4071 | Augustine Ayelyine | F | 6-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 10 | -2.4 | -0.6 | |
| 4296 | JD Bowden | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Presbyterian | 10 | -2.6 | -0.7 |
| 4304 | Amare Anderson | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Presbyterian | 8 | -3.0 | -0.6 |
| 4379 | Erik Taylor | G | 6-1 | 2 | Returning | Presbyterian | 15 | -2.3 | -0.9 |
| 5107 | Iverson King | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Presbyterian | 15 | -4.3 | -1.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  St. Thomas-Minnesota #130 | +1.1 | 54% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  Georgia #32 | -20.0 | 5% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | at |  NC State #36 | -18.1 | 7% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | vs |  Mercer #231 | +5.1 | 66% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | at |  Tennessee Tech #280 | -3.7 | 38% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  Sacramento State #199 | +4.1 | 63% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  Butler #86 | -13.1 | 14% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  Morehead State #265 | -4.7 | 35% | |
| Tue Dec 08 | at |  East Tennessee State #171 | -7.7 | 26% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Samford #190 | +3.5 | 61% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  Navy #174 | -7.2 | 28% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Wake Forest #76 | -14.3 | 12% | |
| Fri Jan 01 | at |  Radford #241 | conf | -2.3 | 43% |
| Sun Jan 03 | at |  Longwood #195 | conf | -3.6 | 39% |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs |  High Point #40 | conf | -9.6 | 22% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Gardner-Webb #361 | conf | +6.0 | 69% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Winthrop #177 | conf | +0.2 | 51% |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs |  South Carolina Upstate #268 | conf | +3.2 | 60% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  UNC Asheville #245 | conf | -2.5 | 42% |
| Thu Jan 28 | at |  Charleston Southern #276 | conf | -1.0 | 47% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | Gardner-Webb #361 | conf | +9.8 | 79% |
| Wed Feb 03 | at | South Carolina Upstate #268 | conf | -1.1 | 46% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | Longwood #195 | conf | +0.8 | 53% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | Radford #241 | conf | +2.3 | 57% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | UNC Asheville #245 | conf | +2.2 | 57% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | High Point #40 | conf | -15.2 | 11% |
| Thu Feb 25 | at | Winthrop #177 | conf | -4.4 | 36% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Charleston Southern #276 | conf | +3.5 | 61% |
Projected margin is from Presbyterian's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.