Teams › ACC · Compare Wake Forest with another team
Wake Forest
Wake Forest returns 30% of last season's minutes and rates #90 on offense and #69 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +0.9 to +15.6.
Why we have them here
Wake Forest's preseason projection of +8.2 (No. 76 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +4.9, about the +4.7 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 76 at the end of 2025-26) adds +1.4, about its neighbours' +1.2; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +1.4. It returns 30% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (41%). The projection leans most on Tre'Von Spillers (+3.4), Kevair Kennedy (+2.9) and Jamari McDowell (+1.4); the newcomer who matters most is Kevair Kennedy, a transfer from Merrimack, at +2.9. Its 80% range, +0.9 to +15.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 30% · Transfer 59% · Freshman 9% · Other newcomer 2%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 186 | Tre'Von Spillers | F | 6-7 | 3 | Returning | Wake Forest | 26 | +5.2 | +3.4 |
| 309 | Kevair Kennedy | G | 6-2 | 1 | Transfer | Merrimack | 29 | +4.0 | +2.9 |
| 633 | Jamari McDowell | G | 6-5 | 3 | Transfer | Kansas | 18 | +3.0 | +1.4 |
| 757 | Xander Pintelon | F | 6-11 | 1 | Transfer | Florida Atlantic | 19 | +2.4 | +1.1 |
| 862 | Justin Ray | G | 6-3 | 2 | Transfer | Monmouth | 23 | +1.8 | +1.0 |
| 1341 | Ring Nyeri | F | 6-8 | 2 | Transfer | Northern Colorado | 21 | +0.5 | +0.3 |
| 1471 | Antonio Dorn | C | 7-0 | 1 | Transfer | Virginia Tech | 8 | +0.4 | +0.1 |
| 1707 | Gavin Placide | F | 6-9 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 9 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
| 1722 | Gallagher Placide | F | 6-8 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 9 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
| 1905 | Isaac Carr | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Wake Forest | 11 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| 1937 | Marqus Marion | F | 6-9 | 3 | Returning | Wake Forest | 10 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| 2213 | Vincent Ricchiuti | F | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Wake Forest | 4 | -1.1 | -0.1 |
| 2282 | Vincent Chaudhri | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 4 | -1.2 | -0.1 | |
| 2307 | Will Underwood | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Wake Forest | 4 | -1.2 | -0.1 |
| 2490 | Anson Beard Jr. | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Wake Forest | 4 | -1.6 | -0.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs |  Maryland Eastern Shore #356 | +20.6 | 95% | |
| Thu Nov 05 | at |  Vanderbilt #26 | -12.2 | 16% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | vs |  Charleston Southern #276 | +16.9 | 91% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Southern Utah #292 | +17.2 | 92% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | vs |  Monmouth #216 | +13.8 | 87% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | vs |  Western Carolina #152 | +11.7 | 83% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | N |  Mississippi State #78 | +0.1 | 50% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  LSU #39 | -9.6 | 22% | |
| Sun Dec 06 | N |  Massachusetts #178 | +6.5 | 70% | |
| Tue Dec 08 | vs |  Hampton #288 | +16.1 | 90% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | vs |  Gardner-Webb #361 | +22.9 | 97% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | N |  West Virginia #48 | -2.7 | 41% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  Presbyterian #243 | +14.3 | 88% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Virginia Tech #45 | conf | +0.1 | 50% |
| Tue Jan 05 | at |  SMU #53 | conf | -5.7 | 32% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Clemson #46 | conf | -5.9 | 31% |
| Tue Jan 12 | vs |  Notre Dame #75 | conf | +3.0 | 60% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Florida State #90 | conf | +4.5 | 64% |
| Wed Jan 20 | vs |  Duke #2 | conf | -9.3 | 22% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  NC State #36 | conf | -7.3 | 28% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Miami #18 | conf | -10.6 | 20% |
| Tue Feb 02 | vs |  Boston College #114 | conf | +6.6 | 70% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at |  Louisville #7 | conf | -12.9 | 15% |
| Wed Feb 10 | vs | NC State #36 | conf | -0.6 | 48% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs |  Pittsburgh #68 | conf | +2.4 | 58% |
| Wed Feb 17 | at | Notre Dame #75 | conf | -2.8 | 41% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs |  North Carolina #54 | conf | +1.0 | 53% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at |  Stanford #69 | conf | -4.2 | 37% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at |  California #115 | conf | +0.7 | 52% |
| Wed Mar 03 | vs |  Georgia Tech #140 | conf | +8.3 | 75% |
| Sat Mar 06 | at |  Syracuse #71 | conf | -4.0 | 37% |
Projected margin is from Wake Forest's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.