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Army
Army returns 100% of last season's minutes and rates #304 on offense and #311 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -15.2 to -0.7.
Why we have them here
Army's preseason projection of -7.8 (No. 314 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -5.1, about the -5.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 338 at the end of 2025-26) adds -2.3, about its neighbours' -1.8; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -0.8. It returns 100% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (71%). The projection leans most on Ryan Curry (+1.0), Tate Laczkowski (+0.3) and Joshua Eli (-0.2). Its 80% range, -15.2 to -0.7, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 100%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 914 | Ryan Curry | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | Army | 28 | +1.5 | +1.0 |
| 1265 | Tate Laczkowski | F | 6-8 | 3 | Returning | Army | 21 | +0.7 | +0.3 |
| 2080 | Joshua Eli | F | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Army | 17 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 3831 | Brendon O'Keefe | G | 5-10 | 2 | Returning | Army | 9 | -2.2 | -0.5 |
| 4427 | Jackson Mayo | G | 6-0 | 3 | Returning | Army | 9 | -3.1 | -0.7 |
| 4548 | Nnaemeka Ikechi | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Army | 7 | -3.6 | -0.7 |
| 4566 | Jahaan Green | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Army | 6 | -3.9 | -0.6 |
| 4616 | Alex Engro | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Army | 9 | -3.4 | -0.8 |
| 4677 | Dylan Benner | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Army | 8 | -3.7 | -0.8 |
| 4742 | Dylan Murans | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Army | 6 | -4.4 | -0.7 |
| 4794 | Jacen Holloway | F | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Army | 23 | -2.4 | -1.4 |
| 4901 | Kevin McCarthy | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Army | 20 | -2.8 | -1.4 |
| 4921 | Dillon Watt | G | 5-11 | 1 | Returning | Army | 7 | -4.7 | -0.9 |
| 5006 | Jackson Furman | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Army | 20 | -3.2 | -1.6 |
| 5015 | Dayon Polk | G | 6-0 | 2 | Returning | Army | 8 | -4.9 | -1.0 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at | -29.7 | <1% | ||
| Tue Nov 10 | at | -3.9 | 37% | ||
| Sat Nov 14 | vs | -3.2 | 40% | ||
| Tue Nov 17 | vs | -0.1 | 50% | ||
| Sat Nov 21 | at | -4.7 | 35% | ||
| Tue Nov 24 | N | +3.9 | 62% | ||
| Thu Nov 26 | at | -6.3 | 31% | ||
| Sat Nov 28 | vs | +6.8 | 71% | ||
| Wed Dec 02 | vs | -1.0 | 47% | ||
| Sat Dec 05 | at | -6.2 | 31% | ||
| Fri Dec 11 | at | -10.8 | 19% | ||
| Sun Dec 20 | at | -14.8 | 12% | ||
| Wed Dec 30 | at | conf | +1.2 | 54% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | +0.9 | 53% | |
| Wed Jan 06 | vs | conf | -1.7 | 45% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | at | conf | -6.9 | 29% | |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs | conf | +0.9 | 53% | |
| Sun Jan 17 | vs | conf | +2.3 | 57% | |
| Wed Jan 20 | at | conf | -4.5 | 36% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | conf | -4.2 | 37% | |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs | conf | +3.9 | 62% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | conf | -1.6 | 45% | |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs | conf | -3.8 | 38% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | conf | -2.4 | 42% | |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | conf | +0.2 | 51% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | conf | -3.5 | 39% | |
| Wed Feb 17 | at | conf | -7.3 | 28% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | -7.4 | 27% | |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | conf | +2.8 | 59% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | conf | -5.7 | 32% |
Projected margin is from Army's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.