Roster Math

Teams › Big Sky · Compare Eastern Washington with another team

Eastern Washington

Eastern Washington returns 76% of last season's minutes and rates #99 on offense and #269 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -6.2 to +8.5.

+1.2
Rating · #146 of 365
+3.5
Offense · #99
-2.3
Defense · #269
-6.2 to +8.5
80% range
<1%
Chance of top 25
0%
Chance of No. 1
15-14
Projected record · 9 to 20 wins
12-8
Projected in Big Sky · 8 to 16 wins

Why we have them here

Eastern Washington's preseason projection of +1.2 (No. 146 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +0.8, about the +1.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 196 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.0, about its neighbours' +0.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +0.1. It returns 76% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (49%). The projection leans most on Alton Hamilton IV (+3.2), Isaiah Moses (+2.5) and Jalen Griffith (+1.4); the newcomer who matters most is Jalen Griffith, a transfer from Western Michigan, at +1.4. Its 80% range, -6.2 to +8.5, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.

Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.

Roster

Returning 73% · Transfer 11% · Other newcomer 16%

Alton Hamilton IV+3.2
Isaiah Moses+2.5
Jalen Griffith+1.4
Emmett Marquardt+0.2
Malachi Richmond-0.2
Isak Homelius-0.2
Ayden Hamilton-0.2
Lance Horntvedt Jr.-0.2
Alan Gballou-0.2
Angelo Winkel-0.3
Jamil Miller-0.3
Cole Scherer-0.3
Shaumba Ngoyi-0.4
Jojo Anderson-0.5
Elijah Thomas-0.8
Straton Rogers-0.9
Kiree Huie-1.0
RankPlayerPosHtD1 yrsGroupFromMPGRatingContrib.
205Alton Hamilton IVF6-81ReturningEastern Washington25+5.1+3.2
384Isaiah MosesG6-03ReturningEastern Washington28+3.6+2.5
656Jalen GriffithG5-103TransferWestern Michigan21+2.7+1.4
1397Emmett MarquardtF6-92ReturningEastern Washington16+0.4+0.2
2659Malachi RichmondF6-20Other newcomer5-1.6-0.2
2811Isak HomeliusF6-50Other newcomer5-1.7-0.2
2888Ayden HamiltonF6-61Other newcomer5-1.8-0.2
2967Lance Horntvedt Jr.F6-70Other newcomer5-1.9-0.2
2967Alan GballouF6-70Other newcomer5-1.9-0.2
2992Jojo AndersonG6-12ReturningEastern Washington18-1.0-0.5
3234Angelo WinkelF6-82ReturningEastern Washington5-2.3-0.3
3238Jamil MillerG6-62Other newcomer6-2.1-0.3
3252Cole SchererG6-21ReturningEastern Washington7-1.8-0.3
4183Shaumba NgoyiF6-92ReturningEastern Washington4-3.9-0.4
4385Kiree HuieF6-93ReturningEastern Washington19-2.0-1.0
4401Straton RogersG6-51ReturningEastern Washington17-2.2-0.9
4762Elijah ThomasG6-62ReturningEastern Washington8-4.0-0.8

A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.

Schedule

DateOpponentProj. marginWin prob.
Mon Nov 02atStanford #69-12.016%
Fri Nov 06atOregon #58-12.216%
Mon Nov 09atOregon State #93-10.420%
Tue Nov 17atUtah #72-12.715%
Mon Nov 23atUNLV #139-6.331%
Wed Nov 25atLoyola Marymount #170-4.934%
Sun Nov 29atWyoming #121-7.028%
Thu Dec 03atPortland State #186conf-1.744%
Sat Dec 05atNorthern Colorado #128conf-2.741%
Sun Dec 13atPortland #339+1.856%
Tue Dec 22NWashington State #162+0.652%
Thu Dec 31vsSouthern Utah #292conf+8.575%
Sat Jan 02vsUtah Tech #275conf+7.573%
Thu Jan 07vsNorthern Arizona #307conf+8.475%
Thu Jan 14atMontana State #138conf-3.140%
Sat Jan 16atMontana #222conf+0.050%
Mon Jan 18vsIdaho State #261conf+6.871%
Sat Jan 23atIdaho #251conf+1.455%
Mon Jan 25vsWeber State #233conf+6.470%
Thu Jan 28vsNorthern Colorado #128conf+2.257%
Sat Jan 30vsPortland State #186conf+4.564%
Thu Feb 04atUtah Tech #275conf+1.956%
Sat Feb 06atSouthern Utah #292conf+2.959%
Thu Feb 11vsMontana #222conf+5.768%
Sat Feb 13vsMontana State #138conf+2.759%
Sat Feb 20atNorthern Arizona #307conf+2.959%
Mon Feb 22atIdaho State #261conf+1.555%
Sat Feb 27vsIdaho #251conf+6.570%
Mon Mar 01atWeber State #233conf-0.249%

Projected margin is from Eastern Washington's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.